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Volumes have been written on behavioral finance and the seemingly “irrational” decisions investors tend to make to avoid straying from the herd.
The market recognizes that the indication by the FOMC at the end of last year that four rates hikes in 2016 may be appropriate was far from the mark.
The NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions.
The MACD indicator works off price. It measures the difference between two values.
About 8 years after the market crash we remain in uncharted waters—still far from what we have learned in the economic text books and far from writing new rules to guide our future.
The market has been punishing high vol shares.