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Does A Fall In Unemployment Lead To Stronger Economic Growth?
Article By: Mises Institute
Tuesday, August 14, 2018 2:28 AM EDT
In July, the US unemployment rate fell 0.1% from the month before to 3.9%. The number of unemployed individuals fell by 284,000 to 6.280 million.
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Overshadowing The Multi-Year CPI High
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Tuesday, August 14, 2018 1:40 AM EDT
The BLS reported the US CPI had increased in July 2018 by the highest rate since December 2011. Running at 2.95% year-over-year, consumer prices accelerated a little from June’s pace.
In this article: OIL, TNX, ERO, CNY
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Core Inflation Hasn’t Done This Since 2008
Article By: Upfina
Monday, August 13, 2018 11:58 PM EDT
Inflation could be the most important metric to follow because if it gets too high, the Fed will need to accelerate rate hikes which could cause a yield curve inversion and later a recession.
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A Long-Term Look At Inflation - Monday, August 13
Article By: Jill Mislinski
Monday, August 13, 2018 10:50 PM EDT
The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) released Friday morning puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.95%.
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Nonsense On Deflation
Article By: Mises Institute
Monday, August 13, 2018 7:40 PM EDT
We are now hearing ominous warnings about imminent deflation. The first is that deflation would necessarily be a bad thing. The second is that deflation is likely to occur in the near-term.
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Anatomy Of Hyperinflation
Article By: Michael Pento
Monday, August 13, 2018 6:40 PM EDT
Venezuela is currently in the throes of hyperinflation on a massive scale. The communist-led government has mismanaged its economy into a fiscal catastrophe.
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Unwelcome August
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Monday, August 13, 2018 5:31 PM EDT
There is just something about August. It is irresistible, apparently, in all the wrong ways.
In this article: ERO, CNY
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EC 3 Reasons Stocks Are Straining To Get Over The Hump
Article By: Gary Gordon
Monday, August 13, 2018 4:47 PM EDT
The S&P 500 – a broad market barometer for U.S. stocks – last hit a record high six-and-a-half months ago.
In this article: AMZN, GOOG, AAPL, QQQ, SPX, NDX
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CBO Cuts 2018 GDP Outlook, Sees Fewer Fed Rate Hikes
Article By: Tyler Durden
Monday, August 13, 2018 3:38 PM EDT
On Monday afternoon in its latest projections, the CBO unexpectedly trimmed its 2018 real GDP forecast to 3.1% citing concerns over rising trade war coupled with higher inflation.
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Household Income And Spending Projections Vs Current And Projected CPI
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Monday, August 13, 2018 3:00 PM EDT
Median inflation expectations at both the one- and three-year horizons were unchanged at 3.0 percent for the third straight month.
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Turkish Crisis Causes A Modest Decline In U.S. Stocks
Article By: TheoTrade
Monday, August 13, 2018 2:05 PM EDT
Materials were the worst performing sector as they fell 1.43%. The best sector was energy as it was the only one in the green.
In this article: SPX, NDX, VIX, XLB, XLE, OIL, UUP, TUR, TNX
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The Smoke Thickens In China
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Monday, August 13, 2018 1:46 PM EDT
A major part of any yield curve is inflation expectations. Nominal growth, particularly toward the longer end of curves, sets the agenda for trading.
In this article: CNY
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Why Tariffs Will Not Reduce The US Trade Deficit
Article By: Marc Chandler
Monday, August 13, 2018 12:35 PM EDT
Over the past four quarters, the US current account deficit averaged a $116.4 bln deficit or 8.6% larger than four-quarter average through Q1 17.
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China’s Coming Austrian Collapse
Article By: Martin Hutchinson
Monday, August 13, 2018 11:44 AM EDT
China will soon be faced with a massive credit crisis, as it can no longer borrow to prop up its fictitious shell of an economy.
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IMF Produces Another Bogus Venezuela Inflation Forecast
Article By: Mises Institute
Monday, August 13, 2018 9:30 AM EDT
IMF has done it again. In an attempt to garner some press, the head of the IMF’s Western Hemisphere Department Alejandro Werner forecasted that Venezuela’s annual inflation rate will reach 1,000,000% by year’s end.
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Inflation: An X-Ray View Of The Components - Monday, August 13
Article By: Jill Mislinski
Monday, August 13, 2018 9:27 AM EDT
Year-over-year Core CPI (the blue line) was above 2% from the end of 2015 through February 2017 and is now above that benchmark as of March 2018.
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