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E Interest Rates Are Not A Leading Indicator
Article By: Gary Anderson
Saturday, April 29, 2017 8:42 AM EDT
There are many leading indicators that are more reliable than interest rates. Compared to GDP, only a weak case is made that interest rates are a leading indicator at all.
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Case Study In Denial
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Friday, April 28, 2017 6:16 PM EDT
Today’s advance estimate of GDP growth for 2017:Q1 from the Commerce Department was 0.7%, substantially weaker than the latest FRBNY Staff Nowcast of 2.7%.
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EC The Weight Of Economic Risks
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Friday, April 28, 2017 4:55 PM EDT
The internals of the GDP report were as ugly as the headline. The major source of weakness was what was supposed to be the sole source of strength – consumers.
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UK, France GDP Weaker Than Expected: Global Slowdown? IMF Early Warning Signal!
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Friday, April 28, 2017 3:22 PM EDT
The UK and France also reported GDP today. Both were lower than expected.
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Damn The Deficits, Huge Tax Cuts Ahead
Article By: Peter Schiff
Friday, April 28, 2017 3:07 PM EDT
Years of massive deficits, runaway government spending, artificially low interest rates, and three rounds of quantitative easing, have left the economy so sick that any tax cut large enough to revive it may actually kill it instead.
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Bull And Bear Case For Earnings
Article By: TheoTrade
Friday, April 28, 2017 2:52 PM EDT
If the corporate tax rate is cut to 20% and remains that low for the next ten years, the stock market should rally 44.7%. Those are big assumptions which is why the market hasn’t rallied that much.
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This Is Not Expansion
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Friday, April 28, 2017 2:08 PM EDT
The advance estimate for Q3 2016 GDP was 2.9%, at the time the highest in two years dating back to 2014. It has since been revised up to nearly 3.5%, which does on the surface seem like an economy more so on the move.
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Economists Expect 2nd-Quarter Recovery: Investigating The 1st-Quarter Weakness Theory
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Friday, April 28, 2017 1:46 PM EDT
Economists are right in line with Fed theory that weakness is transitory.
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Economy Off To A Slow Start For 2017
Article By: James Hamilton
Friday, April 28, 2017 1:33 PM EDT
The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that U.S. real GDP grew at a 0.7% annual rate in the first quarter, weak even by the post-recession average annual growth rate of 2.1% and far below the U.S. historical average of 3.1%.
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April 2017: ECRI's WLI Growth Index Continues To Slow
Article By: Steven Hansen
Friday, April 28, 2017 1:19 PM EDT
ECRI's WLI Growth Index which forecasts economic growth six months forward remains in positive territory for over one year - after spending the previous 35 consecutive weeks in negative territory.
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Digital Forces And The Other 70% Of The US Economy
Article By: Timothy Taylor
Friday, April 28, 2017 1:13 PM EDT
Mandel and Swanson split the US economy into two big chunks, which they call the "digital economy" and the "physical economy."
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EUR/USD Forecast May 1-5
Article By: Yohay Elam
Friday, April 28, 2017 12:55 PM EDT
EUR/USD jumped higher on the favorable results of the French elections. PMI and GDP data stand out in the first week of May, in the run up to the second round of the French elections.
In this article: ERO
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The More Central Banks Print, The More Gold Silk Road Countries Will Buy
Article By: Egon Von Greyerz
Friday, April 28, 2017 12:48 PM EDT
To ride a bull market is like climbing a wall of worry. Most of the time the market seems to be consolidating or correcting. The bull market in gold fits that picture perfectly.
In this article: GLD
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BEA Estimates 1st Quarter 2017 GDP Growth At 0.69% - Friday, April 28
Article By: Rick Davis
Friday, April 28, 2017 12:26 PM EDT
In their first (preliminary) estimate of the US GDP for the first quarter of 2017, the BEA reported that the US economy was growing at a +0.69% annual rate, down roughly two-thirds (-1.39%) from the +2.08% reported for the prior quarter.
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Advance Estimate 1Q2017 GDP Quarter-Over-Quarter Growth At 0.7 Percent
Article By: Global Economic Intersection
Friday, April 28, 2017 11:56 AM EDT
The advance estimate of first quarter 2017 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a positive 0.7 %. This growth is less good than the previous quarter's 2.1 % if one looks at quarter-over-quarter headline growth.
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Canadian GDP Flat In February As Expected
Article By: Yohay Elam
Friday, April 28, 2017 11:32 AM EDT
The Canadian economy did not grow in February 2017. Year over year, GDP grew by 2.5%, slightly below 2.6% predicted.
In this article: FXC
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