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A Long-Term Look At Inflation - Wednesday, Dec. 12
Article By: Jill Mislinski
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 10:16 PM EST
The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) released this morning puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.18%.
Farm PPI And Prospects For The Farm Sector
Article By: Menzie Chinn
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 9:05 PM EST
Farm commodity prices have been depressed by trade retaliation spurred by US tariffs imposed under Section 232 and Section 301, as well as the strong dollar associated with expansionary fiscal policy.
In this article: DBA
Are We At The Peak Of Employment And Wages?
Article By: Lance Gaitan
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 8:11 PM EST
The unemployment rate stayed at 3.7%, but the expected 190,000 non-farm jobs missed the bar by 35,000, only managing 155,000. To add to that misery, October jobs were revised lower by 14,000 jobs.
In this article: DJI, SPX, NDX
Charts That Matter - Wednesday, Dec. 12
Article By: Ritesh Jain
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 5:15 PM EST
The season for good data. CPI inflation slows to 2.3% (expectation 2.6%) 17 months low, prompting economists to expect rate cut early next year IIP accelerates to 8.1% ( expectation of 5.6%) 11 months high.
Housing Starts & Permits Near Cycle Troughs?
Article By: Upfina
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 4:13 PM EST
Housing isn’t on unstable ground like in 2007, but even if it crashed, it wouldn’t damage the economy as much as it did in the last recession.
Inflation: An X-Ray View Of The Components - Wednesday, Dec. 12
Article By: Jill Mislinski
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 4:03 PM EST
Year-over-year Core CPI was above 2% from the end of 2015 through February 2017 and is now above that benchmark as of March 2018.
Italy: A Brewing Storm Within The EU
Article By: Mises Institute
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 3:50 PM EST
Italy is the third-largest economy in the Eurozone, but it carries the second largest debt-to-GDP, only surpassed by Greece. At 131% of its entire economic output, Italy’s debt stands at over €2.3 trillion.
In this article: EWI
November 2018 CPI
Article By: Kevin Erdmann
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 3:28 PM EST
Things continue to move sideways, not providing a strong new signal in either direction.
Two Charts Show How The CPI News Increases The Danger By Underplaying It
Article By: Money Morning
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 2:34 PM EST
When most of us think about inflation, we think of the prices of the things we buy regularly. The government supposedly measures that in the CPI – Consumer Price Index.
CPI Unchanged In Nov As Gasoline And Apparel Decline, Shelter And Food Rise
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 2:00 PM EST
The CPI came in unchanged for November as expected today. Energy, apparel, and transportation were all negative.
Keynes Was Right, The More Evil Of The Two
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 12:47 PM EST
I am no fan of John Maynard Keynes. But this isn’t to say that there is nothing worthwhile about Keynes’ work.
What Inflation Means To You: Inside The Consumer Price Index - Wednesday, Dec. 12
Article By: Jill Mislinski
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 12:21 PM EST
Let's do some analysis of the Consumer Price Index, the best-known measure of inflation.
In this article: UGA
November 2018 CPI: Year-Over-Year Inflation Rate Moderates To 2.2%
Article By: Steven Hansen
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 11:15 AM EST
According to the BLS, the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate was 2.2 % year-over-year (lower than the 2.5 % last month) - unchanged month-over-month.
Real Wage Growth: November 2018 Update
Article By: Hale Stewart
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 10:15 AM EST
The growth in real wages is good news. It's just nearly good enough compared with the growth in business profits generated by the expansion.
U.S. Business Cycle For December 2018
Video By: Axel Merk
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 10:05 AM EST
Most indicators are still positive, with the exception of some longer-term indicators that look negative- suggesting that we are in the late part of the cycle.
In this video: TNX
What Caused Chairman Powell To Flinch
Article By: Michael Lebowitz
Wednesday, December 12, 2018 9:48 AM EST
Some will say the Fed, by delaying plans for rate hikes and reducing their balance sheet, avoided a hard landing in 2015 and 2016. They may have, but since then global economic and political instabilities have risen markedly.
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