James Picerno | TalkMarkets | Page 6
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator
James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ...more

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Markets And Fed Minutes See Path For Rate Cuts In 2024
Uncertainty is as thick as ever for diving into what awaits in the year ahead, but there’s still a growing consensus building that the Federal Reserve will soon start cutting interest rates.
Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - Wednesday, Jan. 3
The long-term return forecast for the Global Market Index ticked lower in December, easing to an expected 6.7% annualized total return.
Major Asset Classes December 2023 Performance Review
Real estate securities rebounded sharply in December, leading the broad-based gains for the major asset classes in the final month of 2023, based on a set of ETFs.
Best Of Book Bits 2023 - December 31, 2023
For our final act of 2023, here’s the second installment to Best of Books 2023.Here are the other of books that captured our attention over the preceding 12 months. Happy reading–and Happy New Year!
US Q4 GDP Nowcast Holds At Modest Growth Estimate
The outlook for the US economy is on track to close 2023 with a relatively upbeat outlook for the fourth quarter.
Is The Bond Market Set To Roar In 2024?
The US bond market has had a rough ride for much of the past two years, but the powerful rally over the last two months suggests the worst is over.
Confidence Rising In Markets For Rate Cuts In 2024
Markets are becoming increasingly confident that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in 2024. The first cut is expected at the March 20 monetary policy meeting.
Is The Stock Market’s Breadth Improving?
The S&P 500 Index’s rise in recent weeks puts it within shouting distance of its record high, set in January 2022. Yet some analysts warn that the narrow leadership of Big Tech stocks leaves the market vulnerable.
Are Commodities A Compelling Contrarian Trade For 2024?
A look at trending behavior in the commodities space for some perspective.
Early December GDP Nowcasts Show Moderate US Growth For Q4
US economic activity is still on track to slow after strong growth in the third quarter, but recession risk remains low.
Risk-On Signal For Global Markets Strengthens After Fed News
The central bank left its policy rate unchanged for a third time while suggesting that a round of rate cuts is on the table for 2024.
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Wednesday, Dec. 13
Today’s update of the “fair-value” model for the US 10-year Treasury yield reaffirms that the benchmark rate appears unusually high relative to the economic fundamentals.
Tech, Consumer Discretionary Are Top Equity Sectors In 2023
Key drivers of the strong performance for the US stock market this year are technology and consumer discretionary sectors, based on a set of ETF proxies through Monday’s close, Dec. 11.
All Major Asset Classes (Except Commodities) Set For 2023 Gains
With just three weeks left to the year, nearly all corners of global markets are on track to post gains for 2023, based on a set of index ETFs. The US stock market is still leading the field by a wide margin.
Is The U.S. Stock Market Set To Break Out Of Its Trading Range?
The market is currently trading at just below its July high. A decisive rise above that level would strengthen the view that US equities are poised to break free of the trading range that’s prevailed for much of the past two years.
Despite US Resilience, Recessionistas Still Expect Trouble
The US was supposed to be in recession by now, according to numerous forecasts from early in 2023.
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