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Above The 40 – No Time For Comfort As Brakes Screech On The Oversold Bounce
Article By: Dr. Duru
Saturday, November 10, 2018 7:17 PM EST
The S&P 500 (SPY) fell 0.9% in what looks like a “close enough” failure at downtrending 50-day moving average (DMA) resistance. In a bit of good news, the index also bounced picture-perfect style off its 200DMA support. I will call it a stalemate.
In this article: CAR, SSO, BIDU, AAPL, INTC, IWM, FB, ROKU, QQQ, SPY, UVXY, VIX, XRT, CVNA, DHI, TTD, WYNN, YELP
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Above The 40 – The Stock Market Cascades Down To Oversold Territory
Article By: Dr. Duru
Thursday, October 11, 2018 9:56 AM EST
Sellers dominated the trading action in a way that we have not seen in a long time. The S&P 500 (SPY) dropped 3.3%, its largest single-day loss since early February. The NASDAQ dropped 4.1%, its largest single-day loss since June 24, 2016.
In this article: UVXY, VIX, QQQ, IWM, SPY, XLF, XRT, AYI, FLR, PPG, EA, SPLK, RDFN, AMZN, CLDR, HDP, RHT, Z
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AboveTthe 40 – A Suspect Breakout For The S&P 500
Article By: Dr. Duru
Sunday, September 23, 2018 12:38 PM EST
The S&P 500 proceeded to bolt higher on Thursday to a fresh all-time high with a close that stretched above its upper Bollinger Band (BB). But the stock market is not quite out the (short-term) woods yet.
In this article: UVXY, WHR, Z, AAPL, AMZN, YELP, VIX, RDFN, QQQ
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Above The 40 – Another Picture-Perfect Rebound Ends Stretched Conditions
Article By: Dr. Duru
Saturday, August 18, 2018 6:39 PM EST
The recovery from the February swoon has been full of nearly predictable bounces: whether it was oversold trading conditions or support at the 50 and 200-day moving averages (DMAs). Such moves are the hallmarks of a bull market.
In this article: AMT, CMG, UVXY, AAPL, TSLA, SMH, SPY, YELP, VIX, DE, JCP, CAKE, MYL, TEVA, P, Z, RDFN, XLP
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Above The 40 – A Still Shaky But Now Stretched Stock Market
Article By: Dr. Duru
Thursday, August 16, 2018 6:02 AM EST
While macro-economic and political headlines roil markets enough to push the VIX skyward, the U.S. stock indices are barely showing signs of stress.
In this article: UVXY, QQQ, SPY, USO, UUP, VIX, GLD, SLV, BA, BHP, RIO, CAT, M, BIDU, NFLX, WHR
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$UVXY

Don't Invest In Things You Don't Understand
Dean Gilmore 2/11/2018 12:39:33 PM

Read the prospectus it's all there you can't get rich off #etfs only way you can is seesaw $uvxy against $xiv it's too late.

New York Times Takes Aim At The Volatility Trade And Trading Crowd
Patrick Schlimme 9/5/2017 2:53:31 PM

Hi Seth, I am glad I found your valuable insights (after reading the NYT article) on trading short vol. I have a very similar approach (taking advantage of spikes in the VIX) and found your strategy underpinning mine. Shorting the $UVXY has made me quite some money (in fact it was the biggest money maker in my portfolio). However, I have switched to the $SVXY because it lets me sleep better: being long I cannot lose more than I invested and I don't have the problem that my broker wants the borrowed shares back (this has happened to me twice). Thanks! Will follow you here and on Twitter.

VIX-Leveraged ETPs And The 5% Contango Rule
Bill Bishop 5/1/2017 5:58:27 PM

Okay but the phrase "like instruments" may be confusing to some. I wanted to be clear that even instruments appearing to be opposites, or at least on opposite sides such as $VXX and $XIV, $UVXY and $SVXY, $ZIV and $VXZ etc. all declined in 2015.

VIX-Leveraged ETPs And The 5% Contango Rule
Seth Golden 5/1/2017 9:46:45 AM

Thank you! This article www.talkmarkets.com/.../uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes offers my positioning when $UVXY or $VXX spike, usually during negative contango.

UVXY: Market Uncertainty And Telling The Untold Future
Vibrant Cosmos 3/26/2017 10:43:10 PM

Sorry hear what you had to go through as child. Very much agree the quote. You have been motivation for me to follow a methodical approach for profits, i might not be as aggressive as you are in shorting $UVXY, but am short never getting into a "called in" situation. Thanks for your posts.

VIX Trading: Even The Pros Get It Wrong
Bill Bishop 2/7/2017 3:23:37 PM

I like your system of shorting $UVXY using layering techniques and routinely taking profits. We just have to keep in mind that it did go up about 1,100% using simulated back-testing late in 2008. If you had relentlessly kept on trying to meet your margin calls, you would be hurt pretty bad. And yeah, the Twitter thing is a lesson to everyone: "Don't tweet strangers unless you are fine with them blocking you."

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