EDITOR'S CHOICE
Headline Spin — Recession Forecasting Is Back
Article By:
Jeff Miller
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Thursday, March 30, 2017 4:50 AM EDT
The truth about recession chances – that we are almost certainly OK for the next year or so – is not an exciting story. Journalists never ask about the record or credentials of sources on technical stories.
Why Energy-Economy Models Produce Overly Optimistic Indications
Article By:
Gail Tverberg
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Wednesday, March 29, 2017 10:49 AM EDT
Whether or not a new economic system can arise to take the place of our existing system remains to be seen. It certainly is a concern.
Curves Need No R-Star; Economists Need R* To Decode Curves
Article By:
Jeffrey P. Snider
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Tuesday, March 28, 2017 4:51 AM EDT
The current curve, though steep in historical terms, is rightly diagnosing the chances of the economy escaping a dungeon of depression as exceedingly small and getting smaller.
In this article: FVX
The Limitations Of Sentiment As A Market Timing Tool
Article By:
Steven Saville
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Tuesday, March 28, 2017 12:16 AM EDT
Sentiment can be a useful indicator, but it does have serious limitations. It is just one medium-sized piece of a large puzzle.
In this article: SPX
Discussions On The Fed Put
Article By:
Doug Noland
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Monday, March 27, 2017 10:30 AM EDT
We’re a few months from the nine-year anniversary of the 2008 crisis, yet there’s still huge ongoing global QE and rates not far from zero. It’s a monetary inflation beyond anyone’s imaginings, even Dr. Ben’s.
700 ETF Closures
Article By:
Ron Rowland
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Thursday, March 23, 2017 5:48 AM EDT
March 22 is the last day of trading for seven WisdomTree ETFs. Their impending delisting and liquidation pushes the tally to 700 ETF closures.
In this article: WETF
Dividend Stocks In Focus: PBF Energy
Article By:
SureDividend
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Wednesday, March 22, 2017 9:52 AM EDT
PBF stock is cheap, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 12. And, with a 5.5% dividend yield, it is an attractive stock for dividend income.
In this article: PBF
Echo Chamber
Article By:
Michael Lebowitz
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Wednesday, March 22, 2017 8:11 AM EDT
It seems unlikely that this new Congress and President are inclined to make the difficult choices that might ultimately set the U.S. economy back on a path of healthy, self-sustaining growth
Survey Says… Ignore The Hard Data At Your Peril
Article By:
Michael Pento
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Monday, March 20, 2017 12:10 PM EDT
Just as we were beginning to get tired of all this “winning”, investors are also receiving a strong reality check from the actual hard data regarding the current state of economic activity.
Another Missed Opportunity
Article By:
Doug Noland
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Monday, March 20, 2017 7:51 AM EDT
The Fed let another opportunity slip away. One of these days the bond market may mount a protest.
Previewing The Q1 2017 Earnings Season
Article By:
Sheraz Mian
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Saturday, March 18, 2017 8:02 PM EDT
We are still a couple of weeks away from the end of the March quarter, but the Q1 earnings season has gotten underway already. We have 8 S&P 500 members reporting results this week, including bellwethers like FedEx, Nike, and Accenture and others.
Gold Sector: Positioning And Sentiment
Article By:
Acting Man
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Friday, March 17, 2017 11:20 AM EDT
It certainly looks as though speculative positions in gold futures and other sentiment indicators would allow for a rally to develop, even though they are no longer at pessimistic extremes.