Paban Pandey | TalkMarkets | Page 58
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Contributor's Links: Hedgopia
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more

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After Decent Rally, US Equity Indices Rejected At Resistance – Path Of Least Resistance Down N/T
After rallies that lasted a little over two weeks, selling began on major US equity indices last week right at important resistance. This likely continues near term.
CoT Weekly Update, Peek Into Future Through Futures
Several weekly momentum indicators on the cash (16.88) have reached the median. This is as good a place as any for volatility bulls to put their foot down.
Manufacturing, Small-Business/Consumer Optimism At Multi-Year High – Inventories Worth Close Watch
After coming under pressure for months, the ratio of inventories to sales has slightly risen since bottoming last November. It is worth watching.
Decent Rally In Stocks Past Couple Of Weeks – Risks Rising N/T
Major US equity indices continue to try to repair the technical damage they sustained in February and March. After a decent rally in the past couple of weeks, risks are rising near term.
Indices Getting Overbought N/T – Earnings Season Underway, With Adverse Friday Reaction
If investor/trader reaction last Friday to financials’ 1Q18 results is any indication, we are in for some interesting weeks ahead.
Futures And Hedge Fund Positions Last Week
The price action is encouraging, but volume continues to be an issue, leaving room for questions as to if this week’s rally is merely unwinding of oversold conditions or some genuine buying is taking place.
Gold Attacks Crucial Resistance, Which Likely Cracks – If Not Right Away, Later
Gold is hammering on crucial resistance. This has been going on for a while now. A breakout will happen – sooner or later.
After Failing At 51, XLU’s N/T Path Of Least Resistance Down
Since bottoming at $47.37 early February, XLU ($50.13) has made higher lows, with the 50-day moving average flattish and the 10- and 20-day flattish to slightly rising.
Long And Short Of Short Interest - Wednesday, April 11
A brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the March 16-29 period in nine S&P 500 sectors.
S&P 500 Struggle To Lift Off Of 200DMA – Short Put For Premium/To Position For Earnings Bounce
In February, the deficit came in at $57.6 billion, the highest since March 2009. China – a manufacturing hub – is a big part of this. The Administration is trying to remedy the situation through imposition of tariffs.
S&P 500 Loses 200DMA, But Barely; VIX In Non-Confirmation Mode
The S&P 500 large cap index is testing the lows of February, but VIX acts nowhere near as panicky. This could be a tell for stocks near-term.
Stocks’ Path Of Least Resistance Up N/T – SPY Weekly Short Put For Premium
February and March wrought technical damage on major US equity indices, but the path of least resistance increasingly looks up near-term.
Peeking Into Future Through Futures, And How Hedge Funds Are Positioned, Via CoT
March arguably offered something for both the bulls and bears. Near term, it increasingly looks like the bulls are putting their foot down.
Nasdaq 100 Getting Oversold – Turning XLK Credit Call Spread Into Iron Condor
Risks are building medium- to long-term, but the Nasdaq 100 is getting oversold on the daily chart.
Long And Short Of Short Interest
a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the March 1-15 period in nine S&P 500 sectors.
Stocks Once Again Under Pressure, But At/Near Crucial Support – Some Metrics Way Oversold
Stocks are selling off, but major indices are at/near crucial support, testing the will of the bulls.
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