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Paban Pandey

Analyst
Contributor's Links: Hedgopia
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more
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After 2 Up Weeks, Major US Indices End Last Week Right On 50-DMA
Monday, May 6, 2024 7:25 AM EDT
After peaking in March and dropping in mid- to-high single-digit percent, the major US equity indices have rallied the last two weeks, ending last week right on the 50-day.
In this article: QQQ, DIA, IWM, SPX
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What Are The Noncommercials Doing? Insights From The CoT Report
Sunday, May 5, 2024 2:02 AM EDT
Equity bulls should be very happy with how things turned out this week.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, UDN, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX
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Dovish Message Likely To Ignite Positive Wealth Effect From Equities And Home Prices
Thursday, May 2, 2024 8:19 AM EDT
Markets were on pins and needles as to if Powell would be open to the possibility of a rate hike. He hardly sounded hawkish Wednesday. A dovish message hardly helps cool down the positive wealth effect coming from equities and home prices.
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For Equities To Repeat Last Week’s Feat, They Will Need Help From Both FOMC And Tech Earnings This Week
Monday, April 29, 2024 7:12 AM EDT
In the latter part of last week, tech delivered, helping the major US equity indices rally big. Two issues could make or mar this week. The FOMC meets, and two more tech behemoths report earnings.
In this article: QQQ, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, DIA, META, SPX
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What This Week's CoT Report Shows Noncommercials, Hedge Funds Buying
Sunday, April 28, 2024 1:24 AM EDT
Equity bulls’ mettle is being tested and it will only get intense next week. They put their foot down this week after the S&P 500 gave back 5.9 percent intraday from the March 28th high.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, SPY, TLT, VIX Also: AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, UDN, USO, UUP, META, AAPL, IWM
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Investor Sentiment Takes Hit, But Yet To Hit Meaningful Low To Signal Durable Bottom
Friday, April 26, 2024 5:45 AM EDT
After a ferocious rally from last October’s low, US equities gave back some of the gains this month.
In this article: SPX
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Bulls Have Opportunity To Put Foot Down For Reprieve N/T
Monday, April 22, 2024 8:37 AM EDT
Unable to push through resistance, major US equity indices took a drubbing in recent weeks. Mid- to long-term, more downward pressure is probable.
In this article: NDX, SPX, VIX, IWM
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CoT Latest Report - Where Noncommercials Are Putting Their Money
Sunday, April 21, 2024 1:18 AM EDT
For the first time since October, hedge funds are net long S&P 500 Futures.
In this article: QQQ, GLD, IEF, SLV, SPY, TLT, UDN, USO, UUP, VIX
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S&P 500 And Nasdaq 100 Each Down Sub-3% From Recent Highs To End Right On 50-Day
Monday, April 15, 2024 8:41 AM EDT
From last month’s record highs, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are down just under three percent and have now approached the 50-day, which has not been lost since last October when they bottomed.
In this article: IWM, NDX, SPX
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Commitment Of Traders On Futures, Hedge Fund Positions
Sunday, April 14, 2024 1:15 AM EDT
Equity bulls are at risk of losing short-term momentum on the S&P 500. Bears have an opportunity here.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, UDN, USO, UUP, VIX Also: OIL, HUI
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1Q24 Earnings Season Begins Amidst Collapse In Bearish Sentiment And More Or Less Sideways S&P 500
Friday, April 12, 2024 5:43 AM EDT
With the S&P 500 sideways in recent weeks after a massive rally since last October, better results can help the index push through short-term resistance, but building on the gains will be tough, as bearish sentiment has collapsed.
In this article: QQQ, DIA, SPX
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Unless Bond Bears Get Motivated By Budget Deficit/Federal Debt/Interest Payments, Bulls Could Find Rally In 10-Year Yields Tempting
Tuesday, April 9, 2024 10:52 AM EDT
The 10-year T-yield just poked its head out of 4.30s resistance. Economic data in recent weeks have come in much stronger than expected.
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Looking Into The Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Sunday, April 7, 2024 1:20 AM EDT
Since last October’s low, bulls have been in absolute control and are not going to give up the momentum they have gained without a fight. They put their foot down on Friday.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, USO, NDX, VIX
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Extremely Overbought Stock Market Uses Non-Voting FOMC Member Kashkari’s Hawkish Comments As Excuse To Sell Off
Friday, April 5, 2024 6:00 AM EDT
Ironically, Thursday’s selloff was blamed, wrongly, on hawkish interest-rate comments from Neel Kashkari, Minneapolis Fed president.
In this article: SPX
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Essentially Sideways In March, Nasdaq 100 In Search Of Catalyst
Monday, April 1, 2024 5:44 AM EDT
Although it rose 1.2 percent, the Nasdaq 100 essentially went sideways in March. This also offers tech bulls an opportunity to force another breakout. Catalysts are needed.
In this article: QQQ Also: AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, NVDA, SPY, META, GOOGL
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Mining The CoT Report: What Hedge Funds Are Buying; The Future Via Futures
Sunday, March 31, 2024 12:01 AM EDT
As things stand, futures traders have priced in the first rate cut of the cycle to take place in June, with two more cuts by December. This is a downward adjustment of expectations, and they may not be done doing so.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, USO, UUP, VIX Also: NDX
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