Paban Pandey | TalkMarkets | Page 5
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Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more

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Bulls Riding Strong November Momentum
Stocks have done very well this month, pushing the major equity indices into overbought territory.
Complacency Running High Pre-And Post-CPI, VIX Approaching Crucial Support Likely To Tempt Contrarians To Enter Trade
Kudos to equity bulls for having cashed in on last Tuesday’s CPI report, which was just a tad better than expected.
From This Week's CoT: What Noncommercials Are Buying
With seven and a half sessions to go, November so far has proven to be quite a comeback month for the Nasdaq 100.
Disinflation Trend In Consumer Inflation Intact
October’s CPI report showed continued disinflation since peaking last year at four-decade highs.
Small-Cap Action Foresees Tough 2024
Small-caps continue to act tentative. It is a group of stocks with the most exposure to the domestic economy, and their performance runs counter to the nearly-consensus view that the economy will do just fine next year.
After Last Week’s Ferocious Relief Rally, US Equities Give Out Signs Of Fatigue
Last week, the major US equity indices rallied strongly – rising mid- to high-single digits. Bulls tried to maintain the momentum this week, but bears are coming out of the woodwork.
Peak In 10-Year Treasury Yield Likely Leads To Sustained Covering By Zealous Shorts
It is probable the 10-year T-yield has peaked at five percent. In this scenario, a sustained move lower will put shorts, who were heavily betting on higher rates, under pressure to cover.
Learning From CoT: What Noncommercials Are Buying This Week
Equity bulls stepped up to the plate at a crucial level – emphatically. Last week, the S&P 500 breached several important levels, including dual channel support and the 200-day, closing at 4117.
Odds Favor Equity Bulls Than Bears At Present
Both the S&P 500 and VIX closed lower last week. This occurred even as the major US equity indices are at/near decent/major support. Right here and now, odds favor the bulls than the bears.
Latest Update On CoT, What Noncommercials Are Buying
It is a make-or-break moment for small-cap bulls. They have already been on the defensive for a while now.
3Q Tech Earnings Fail To Ignite Buying Interest, But Crucial Dual Support On Nasdaq 100 Unlikely To Yield Right Away
In a week in which several tech behemoths reported their September quarter, the Nasdaq 100 is down 3.1 percent through Thursday, falling out of a descending channel. But tech bulls have dual support just underneath – Fibonacci and moving average.
Up To Tech Bulls To Try To Stop Equity Bears
Equity bears attacked where they could potentially have last week. With technicals in their favor, they will try to make further gains this week. It is up to the tech bulls to stop that from happening. Major tech outfits are reporting this week.
Looking Into The Future With Futures, Via CoT
The path of least resistance is up – until VIX flashes a spike-reversal warning.
Equity Momentum Faded As Last Week Progressed
Equity bulls rallied the major US stock indices strongly early last week, but the momentum faded as the week progressed.
Peeking Into The Future Through Futures, What Non-Commercials Are Buying, Via CoT
On September 27th, the Nasdaq 100 stopped going down at 14433. As things stand, bears are probably eyeing this level.
As Banks Get Ready To Report 3Q, KBE At Crucial Juncture
Financials will start reporting 3Q results pre-open tomorrow. From May’s low, KBE has rallied into potentially crucial resistance.
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