Paban Pandey | TalkMarkets | Page 4

Paban Pandey

Analyst
Contributor's Links: Hedgopia
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more
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49 to 64 of 936 Posts
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Nov Margin Debt 29% From Oct ’21 Peak
Friday, December 29, 2023 4:47 AM EDT
In November, margin debt was up four percent m/m, even as the S&P 500 jumped 8.9 percent. The latter is up another 4.7 percent December-to-date.
In this article: SPX
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Rates Sharply Higher Even As Consumer Credit Is At Record High And Sentiment Remains Suppressed
Wednesday, December 27, 2023 8:51 AM EDT
Consumer credit is at a record high, including auto loans. Already stretched, consumers are now having to deal with higher rates. Evidently, consumer sentiment remains suppressed.
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CoT: Peek Into Future Thru Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Sunday, December 24, 2023 12:52 AM EDT
It just feels like non-commercials are in a mood to pick up pennies in front of a steamroller.
In this article: FXE, ONEQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, USO, NDX, VIX, HUI
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Sentiment Giddy, Caution Warranted
Friday, December 22, 2023 5:18 AM EDT
September-quarter buybacks by S&P 500 companies were decent, but the four-quarter total is on a decelerating trend.
In this article: QQQ, DIA, SPX
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Small-Caps Rallied Big On Fed Pivot
Monday, December 18, 2023 10:01 AM EDT
Small-caps rallied huge last week in reaction to the so-called Fed pivot.
In this article: IWM, NDX
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CoT This Week: Peeking Into The Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Positions
Sunday, December 17, 2023 2:53 AM EDT
At a time like this when literally everyone seems to be on one side of the boat, surprises can spring up out of nowhere.
In this article: FXE, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, UDN, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX, HUI
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Doves Fly, Bulls Run, Animal Spirits On Loose
Thursday, December 14, 2023 7:14 AM EDT
Even though Chair Powell said it is far too early to declare victory, he and his team did exactly that yesterday when they caught markets by surprise by making a hard dovish turn.
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Options-Related Sentiment Readings Can Begin To Flash Red Should S&P 500 Break Out Of July High Post-FOMC
Monday, December 11, 2023 5:00 AM EDT
With the S&P 500 ending last week right at the July high and breakout odds rising post-FOMC Wednesday, options-related sentiment readings can soon begin to flash red.
In this article: SPX, VIX
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CoT Report Analysis: What Large Specs, Noncommercials Are Buying
Sunday, December 10, 2023 9:21 AM EDT
Non-commercials remain committed to gold for now, with net longs highest since April last year. If gold fails to regain momentum soon, these traders can decide to move on.
In this article: FXE, GLD, IEF, IWM, OIL, TLT, UDN, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX, HUI
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October Job Openings One More Data Point To Confirm Ongoing Labor Deceleration, Which Is Destined To Weaken Further Next Year
Friday, December 8, 2023 6:57 AM EDT
More evidence came out this week that the labor market is in deceleration and more weakness lies ahead.
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Hard To Come Up With Scenario In Which Russell 2000 Decisively Breaks Out Of Nearly 2-Year Range
Monday, December 4, 2023 10:20 AM EDT
The Russell 2000 had a phenomenal Friday as rate-cut expectations were brought forward to March.
In this article: IWM
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From CoT, A Look At What Noncommercials, Large Specs Are Buying
Sunday, December 3, 2023 12:05 AM EDT
VIX closed sub-13 for seven sessions in a row, with Friday losing 0.29 point to 12.63. For the week, it added 0.17 point, moving in unison with the S&P 500. This is a rare occurrence and could prove to be important.
In this article: FXE, GLD, IEF, IWM, TLT, USO, UUP, NDX, SPX, VIX
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Bulls Riding Strong November Momentum
Monday, November 27, 2023 7:37 AM EDT
Stocks have done very well this month, pushing the major equity indices into overbought territory.
In this article: SPX Also: VIX
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Complacency Running High Pre-And Post-CPI, VIX Approaching Crucial Support Likely To Tempt Contrarians To Enter Trade
Tuesday, November 21, 2023 6:48 AM EDT
Kudos to equity bulls for having cashed in on last Tuesday’s CPI report, which was just a tad better than expected.
In this article: QQQ, NVDA, DIA, SPX
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From This Week's CoT: What Noncommercials Are Buying
Sunday, November 19, 2023 12:50 AM EDT
With seven and a half sessions to go, November so far has proven to be quite a comeback month for the Nasdaq 100.
In this article: FXE, GLD, IEF, IWM, OIL, TLT, UDN, USO, UUP, NDX, SPX, VIX, HUI
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Disinflation Trend In Consumer Inflation Intact
Friday, November 17, 2023 5:22 AM EDT
October’s CPI report showed continued disinflation since peaking last year at four-decade highs.
In this article: WMT
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