Menzie Chinn | TalkMarkets | Page 95
Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin
Contributor's Links: Econbrowser University of Wisconsin
Menzie David Chinn is a professor of public affairs and economics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison. He, along with James Hamilton, are co-authors of Econbrowser, a weblog on current macroeconomic issues. Menzie received a PhD in economics from the ...more

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Some Empirics Regarding Right To Work Laws
Wages in right to work states are lower than those others. After controlling for various factors, the gap remains.
The Measurement And Display Of Data Series
The argument that deflators are revised over time, and hence makes deflation problematic is interesting, but in my mind not dispositive, given that nominal series are revised over time as well.
“Uncovered Interest Parity And Monetary Policy Near And Far From The Zero Lower Bound”
Why do interest rate differentials point in the wrong direction for subsequent exchange rate changes at short horizons, and not at long?
The Low-Pay Recovery, Re-Assessed
It might be time to re-assess this characterization of stagnant wages and particularly of a low-wage job recovery.
January 2015 Employment Release: +257K
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 257,000 in January, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 5.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.
Keystone XL Employment Effects
Because job projections, in particular, involve numerous assumptions and estimates, the State Department’s job estimates for Keystone XL have been a source of disagreement.
Economic Performance Under Various Presidential Administrations
Why are economic actors more confident during Democratic administrations?
Some Observations On The 2014Q4 GDP Release
The external sector weighs in, and thinking about the length of the recovery.
More On U.S. Employment, Post-Trough
It is virtually guaranteed that after a nation’s business cycle trough, that same nation’s employment growth will display an upward trend.
Private Employment Under Obama And Bush
Macroeconomic Advisers and e-forecasting have reported monthly GDP for November and December, respectively. For now, output seems to continue to rise at a fairly rapid clip.
Global Economic Perspectives On Fiscal Policy, Oil Prices, And The Trade Slowdown
Two chapters from the World Bank’s Global Economic Perspectives are out. Take a look.
The December Employment Release
While the unemployment rate has fallen it doesn’t tell the true story about stagnant paychecks and Americans struggling to find full-time work
An Economic Warning?
One problem is that we’ve hit the zero lower bound, so that it might be the case that the relationships that obtained before don’t anymore.
The Dollar’s Recent Rise In Perspective
The dollar has exhibited substantial strength in the past few months, both against the euro, and against a basket of currencies, as noted in the press. While this assessment is correct, it’s useful to keep the dollar’s movement in perspective.
Minimum Wage Increases In The Wake Of WW II
Some people have fixated upon the near doubling of the minimum wage after WW II (one person misidentifies the date as 1948, but it’s actually 1950) as a cause of disemployment in certain groups.
I Think I Know Why Some Folks Thought 1946 Was One Of The Best Years Of Our Lives
Ignorance of how to use a basic spreadsheet is no excuse for relying on anecdotes.
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