Jacob Meisel | TalkMarkets | Page 24
Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services
I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market. At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued multiple ...more

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Heat Rallies Natural Gas, But Winter Contracts Lag
The August natural gas contract rallied around 3% right into resistance today.
EIA Data Tries To Save Natural Gas
The Energy Information Administration announced this morning that the natural gas implied flow for the week ending July 15th was +34 bcf, under our estimate of +39 bcf and under most market estimates from 35-43 bcf.
Natural Gas Breaks Down: EIA Willing, That Is
Natural gas prices appear to have broken down.
Natural Gas's Slumber Unlikely To Last
Natural gas stockpiles remain at record high levels despite a slower-than-average injection pace through the summer. This has capped upside already, with concerns about available storage come October and November.
La Nina Criteria Observed In Pacific Ocean
There was some cooling observed across all Nino regions this past week, though some of the strongest was in Nino 3.4, which will have more noticeable implications for the downstream pattern across the US.
Natural Gas Approaching Key Short-Term Support Level
Since this morning natural gas prices have attempted to break back above support in the $2.69-$2.70 range, finally making it through on a surge of buying.
How Long Will Major Heat Stay? Weather Models Disagree
Another week of hot weather could continue to support energy prices through July and potentially into August, while indications of the heat breaking down sooner than currently expected could send fuel prices, especially natural gas, plummeting.
Weather Propping Up Natural Gas Amidst Weakening Supply/Demand Landscape
Weather forecasts across the United States continue to look hot. On face value, that would seem very bullish for energy prices, especially natural gas which generates a significant amount of electricity in the summer months.
Little Heat Relief Expected In East; Natural Gas Gets Support
Forecasts are warm across much of the East through the next 10 days, and thus far indications are that they are unlikely to cool off much through the ensuing 10 as well.
Weaker La Nina Trends May Portend Colder Winter: Could Energy Bulls Benefit?
What our preliminary analysis has continued to indicate is that on a fundamental level natural gas bulls should be rooting for less La Nina development, which has been the recent trend across climate guidance.
Natural Gas Declines: Some Seasonality At Play
Our Detailed Weekly Update looking at technical indicators within the natural gas market saw seasonality analysis catching our eye, as we noticed a trend that seemed to support the large sell-off we have observed thus far today.
Which States Drive Natural Gas Demand In Summer?
The South, Southeast, and West appear to be the major gas consumers, with residual demand still relevant across a smattering of other states and regions as well.
Some Weather Models May Be Overstating Cooling Demand
Natural gas prices have rallied significantly the past few weeks, and the most recent leg higher appears at least in part due to significantly warmer forecasts in the medium and long-term.
Natural Gas Prices Reverse: Buy The Dip Or Sell The Rip?
We can look to the weather as to which way the risk lies moving forward.
Evidence Of Pacific Ocean Cooling With Short-Term Energy Demand Impacts
La Nina could have pattern implications on energy demands through at least the month of July.
Weather, Climate, And A Natural Gas Breakout
Natural gas prices are breaking out to the upside again today. After struggling to move above the $2.63 level last week, they broke above that late this morning and have not looked back.
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