Jacob Meisel | TalkMarkets | Page 23
Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services
I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market. At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued multiple ...more

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A Silver Lining? Harvey Models Shift Slightly West
As we head into the weekend and energy traders place their final bets, the latest weather models are showing a couple trends that indicate some energy infrastructure may be spared the worst of Harvey.
Harvey Still Forecast To Make Landfall As A Major Hurricane
Energy traders are faced with the impossible task of not knowing how long or where the worst impacts will linger.
Natural Gas Reversal Helped By Bearish Weather Expectations
We began the day seeing natural gas prices rally even higher following support from cash prices, and prices even briefly ticked above the $3 level for the first time since the 14th.
Natural Gas: Turning Attention To September
Gas Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) for the month of September over time have very gradually declined, thanks in part to a large number of low-demand years last decade.
What Natural Gas Spreads Are Telling Us
Is this time different for natural gas?
Leaner Than Expected Storage Injection Rallies Natural Gas
Much of the move today in natural gas futures is due to bullish EIA data we noticed strong prompt month isolation, with the October contract up significantly more than any Winter or Spring 2017 contracts.
Natural Gas Bounces Off 100-DMA
The prompt month September natural gas contract has bounced almost perfectly off its 100-Day Moving Average (DMA) today.
Weather Eases And Natural Gas Plummets
Heading into the settle today, natural gas prices are likely to close down a bit under 2% after closing down 5% yesterday.
Natural Gas Summer Doldrums
Despite over 151,000 September contracts being traded today, the contract saw a narrow trading range of only 5.6 cents, bringing the 5-day average trading range down to the lowest levels since June.
Which Winter Month Is Weather Most Volatile?
Today we have continued to dig deeper into the winter forecast data that we will be integrating into our Weekly Climate Updates over the coming months for clients.
Winter Forecasts Still Clouded With Noise
In early August, we begin to compile our ideas on winter weather and how we feel it would be prudent to position oneself in the energy markets into the winter given weather-related risks.
Natural Gas Rallies Ahead Of Tomorrow's EIA Data
Lots of natural gas volatility can be expected tomorrow off the EIA data print. However, it may be the weather (and also ensuing production data) that determine whether any violent moves tomorrow are just noise or the broader beginnings of a trend.
Natural Gas Winter Contracts Lag Despite Strong Cash
As of 12:35 PM EDT today, the daily change along the natural gas futures strip looks odd. As seen below, it is now the winter contracts that are lagging the most on the day, albeit by just about a cent more than the front-end contracts.
Seasonality And Demand Trends For Natural Gas
The natural gas market shot up 8% yesterday after the Energy Information Administration announced a leaner storage build than expected.
August Natural Gas Falls Into Expiry
Today was especially busy as the August natural gas contract went off the board, leading to some added volatility at the end of the day. The contract sold-off decently more than any other.
Natural Gas Finds Footing Ahead Of Options Expiry
Natural gas prices were able to bounce back from morning lows right near support as traders positioned ahead of options expiry at the 2:30 PM EDT settle this afternoon.
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