Steven Hansen | TalkMarkets | Page 165
Managing Partner at Econintersect LLC
Contributor's Links: EconCurrents
Steven Hansen, Publisher and Co-founder of EconCurrents, is an international business and industrial consultant specializing in turning around troubled business units; consults to governments to optimize process flows; and provides economic indicator analysis based on unadjusted data and process ...more

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January 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Continues To Strengthen
The January 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index rebound continues. The market expected this index to come in at 77.0 to 77.5 (versus the 79.1 reported).
December 2013 New Home Sales Disappointing
New home sales data for December 2013 declined – this data included some moderately negative backward revision. The data remains very noisy and needs to be averaged to make any sense of it.
Who Is Standing Up For The Middle Class?
Professor Krugman maintains that one party is the enemy of the poor. He did not mention who is the advocate for the middle class – maybe because there is no advocate.
December 2013 Conference Board Employment Index Strengthens
The Conference Board believes future employment growth will likely be solid in the coming months – while Econintersect‘s own employment index is saying that economic pressures will continue to be weak but the trend will reverse in the next few months.
Retail Sales OK In December 2013
Retail sales were up according to US Census. Our analysis agreed, and it is positive that the 3 month rolling average did marginally improve.
Mixed Data For Wholesale Sales In November 2013
November 2013 wholesale sales and inventories data was mixed. This data series is very noisy, and has been on a roller coaster of one good month / one bad month – except the unadjusted data has had two bad months now in a row.
SEC Charges Alcoa With FCPA Violations
The Securities and Exchange Commission today charged global aluminum producer Alcoa Inc. with violating the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) when its subsidiaries repeatedly paid bribes to government officials in Bahrain to maintain a key source of business.
Market Commentary: Markets Open Higher At +0.30%, Blue Chips Lagging Behind
Premarkets were up nicely at +0.30% amidst of mixed news where the US Initial Jobless Claims reported in at 330K versus the 335K expected and 345K prior.
Market Commentary: Averages Melt Downward Marking New Lows For This Session
Except from a brief pause this morning, the averages have continued to melt downward and are all in the red. The volume at noon-time is dipping into the anemic levels and the $VIX remains in the low 13's.
December 2013 FOMC Meeting Minutes: How Much To Taper?
The 18 December 2013 meeting statement presented the actions taken. This post covers the economic discussion during this FOMC meeting between the members. The Fed's Balance Sheet (which we report on weekly) continues to grow at record levels.
December 2013 ADP: Jobs Are 238,000 Stronger
ADP reported December 2013 non-farm private jobs growth at 238,000 – very strong growth.
CoreLogic Home Prices Up 11.8% Year-over-Year, Rate Of Growth Slows
CoreLogic's HPI shows that home prices are up 11.8% year-over-year (reported up 0.1% month-over-month). The year-over-year growth rate was down from the 12.5% reported last month.
November 2013: Manufacturing Had A Good Month
US Census says manufacturing new orders grew in November. Our analysis agrees showing acceleration of the rolling averages.
Leading Index Review: November 2013 Philly Fed Leading Index Continues To Show Growth
A positive index number projects positive economic growth for the next 6 months. The November 2013 forecast (released today) growth is 1.5% over the next 6 months. A positive number indicates growth. A review of all major leading indicators follows.
28 December 2013 Unemployment Claims 4 Week Average Again Worsen
The market was expecting the weekly initial unemployment claims at 333.000 to 340,000 vs the 339,000 reported. The more important (because of the volatility in the weekly reported claims and seasonality errors in adjusting the data) 4 week moving average degraded, moving from 348,000 (reported last week) to 357,250.
Economic Forecast January 2014: Slight Growth Deceleration
Our January 2013 Economic Forecast continues to show a growing economy – but growing at a slower rate than last month. Most portions of our economic model are expanding.
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