Steven Hansen | TalkMarkets | Page 164

Steven Hansen

Managing Partner at Econintersect LLC
Contributor's Links: EconCurrents
Steven Hansen, Publisher and Co-founder of EconCurrents, is an international business and industrial consultant specializing in turning around troubled business units; consults to governments to optimize process flows; and provides economic indicator analysis based on unadjusted data and process ...more
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Rail Week Ending 15 February 2014: Rail Now Contracting Year-To-Date
Friday, February 21, 2014 5:39 AM EDT
Econintersect: Week 7 of 2014 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) contracted according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR) traffic data.
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January 2014 Sea Container Counts Mixed
Friday, February 21, 2014 3:54 AM EDT
Export and Import container counts were mixed in January 2014. However, rolling averages were accelerating despite this mixed data.
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January 2014 Leading Economic Index: Economy Will Remain Resilient
Thursday, February 20, 2014 10:48 AM EDT
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. improved again in January to 99.5 (2004 = 100, previous month reading = a downwardly revised 99.2). The index growth has been noisy but remains in a growth trend.
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Residential Building Sector Is Very Soft In January 2014
Thursday, February 20, 2014 7:39 AM EDT
Residential building permits in January shows the rate of growth continues to moderate. The data was under consensus expectation.
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January 2014 Producer Prices Index Has Been Reworked
Wednesday, February 19, 2014 10:54 AM EDT
The Producer Price Index has been reworked, and if you view it from last months report there is little change. This index is volatile (noisy).
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February 2014 Empire State Survey Under Expectations, Internals Bad
Tuesday, February 18, 2014 11:59 AM EDT
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey gives insight about business conditions in New York.
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Consumer Has Fallen Off The Wagon Again
Monday, February 17, 2014 12:19 PM EDT
Late last week the consumer credit report for December 2013 was issued by the Federal Reserve. I am beginning to wonder if the consumer is not getting drunk again on credit.
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January 2014 Small Business Optimism Index Continues Marginal Improvement
Wednesday, February 12, 2014 8:42 PM EDT
A review of the the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)'s January 2014 monthly optimism index, which is up marginally from 93.0 to 94.1.
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Wholesale Sales Relatively Strong In December 2013
Tuesday, February 11, 2014 1:04 PM EDT
December 2013 wholesale sales and inventories data was relatively strong. This data series is very noisy, and has been on a roller coaster of one good month / one bad month. Even the unadjusted three month rolling average is stronger than the headline data this month.
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December 2013 JOLTS Again Predicts Little Change In The Jobs Situation
Tuesday, February 11, 2014 11:06 AM EDT
The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) can be used as a predictor of future jobs growth, and the predictive elements show that the jobs situation growth rate likely will not change either for the good or the bad.
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BLS Jobs Situation Mixed In January 2014
Friday, February 7, 2014 3:18 PM EDT
The January 2014 BLS jobs report headlines were not good. But the unadjusted data says this report is as good as most in the last six months.
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December 2013 Trade Data Again Shows A Mixed Picture
Thursday, February 6, 2014 1:20 PM EDT
A quick recap to the December 2013 trade data released today shows a mixed picture of the economy – with the unadjusted data saying both imports and exports growth decelerated month-over-month.
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January 2014 ISM Services Index Strengthens
Wednesday, February 5, 2014 11:23 PM EDT
The January 2014 ISM non-manufacturing (aka services) index continues its growth cycle, and strengthened marginally from 53.0 to 54.0 (above 50 signals expansion). Important internals also strengthened – but note that last month’s internals were revised upward.
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December 2013 Manufacturing Had A Soft Month As Forecast
Tuesday, February 4, 2014 12:02 PM EDT
US Census says manufacturing new orders declined in December. Our analysis agrees showing deceleration of the rolling averages.
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Forecasting The Economy
Monday, February 3, 2014 10:48 AM EDT
Economic theories are not explaining this recovery – although many are bending the theories saying we have done too much of this, and too little of that. There is enough conflicting data out there to prove (or disprove) any theory. I gravitate more to looking at all the hard evidence, and analyzing the conflicts.
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Pending Home Sales Data Is Ugly
Thursday, January 30, 2014 11:56 AM EDT
The pending home sales index for December 2013 was released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) today, and our analysis suggests that January 2014 existing home sales may be worse than December’s.
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