Cullen Roche | TalkMarkets | Page 2
Founder at Orcam Financial Group, LLC
Mr. Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC, a low fee financial services firm based in San Diego, CA as well as the founder of the popular financial website Pragmatic Capitalism. Orcam Financial Group, LLC is a low fee financial services firm ...more

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Chart Of The Week: The Labor Market Continues To Soften
One of the main drivers in the falling rate of inflation has been the consistently softening labor market.
How Worrisome Is The National Debt?
The government balance sheet needs to be thought of differently from your household balance sheet.
Is Inflation Dead?
This week’s data confirmed what we’ve long been predicting here – disinflation is well entrenched and the risk of a big resurgence in inflation is very low.
The Purpose Of Work
Humans are unique in the animal kingdom because we use a medium of exchange (MOE) in an organized economy, but the medium of exchange is just a tool that gives you optionality.
Three Things To Think About This Weekend
Here's what I think I will be thinking about this weekend, including why it's counterproductive to think of government debt in isolation.
Bitcoin, Inflation And Monetary Policy
It’s too early to declare victory, but raising rates, slowing inflation, and avoiding a spike in unemployment actually shows that rate hikes have been more effective than expected.
Chart Of The Week: ISM Services Employment Collapse
The ISM Services Employment Index. Services have been extremely strong for the last few years and it’s been a consistent bright spot in the economy.
Three Lessons From 2023
Investing is a never ending learning experience. I think that’s one of the things that makes the financial markets so fascinating. Just when you feel like you know everything the markets and the economy will surprise you.
Year End Financial Planning Checklist
Financial discipline is largely about organization and that begins with a proper set of goals to achieve over time.
Did Interest Rates Just Peak?
In the last six weeks interest rates have plummeted on expectations of lower inflation and an easier Federal Reserve in 2024.
Weekend Reading – 3 Things
Inflation is likely to remain in a more disinflationary trend in the coming year. Commodities are important inputs in inflation data and real-time commodity price data is consistent with prices that are still high relative to the pre-Covid levels.
Is The S&P 500 Broken?
One of the big stories of the year has been the lack of breadth in the performance of the US stock market.
Weekend Reading – Is Inflation Dead?
This was an interesting week for the inflation outlook because the narrative is now taking a turn in the deflationary direction
Can The Fed Finally Declare Victory?
Tuesday’s CPI report was a huge relief for the Federal Reserve and their fight against inflation. Headline CPI came in at 3.2% and core inflation came in at 4%. Expectations were for modestly higher inflation.
Strategic Update – Q4 2023
Our macroeconomic forecast for 2023 called for a year of disinflation and “muddle through”. That means we expected the economy to remain sluggish and for inflation to show positive rates of change that were sequentially slower.
Weekend Reading: Goldilocks Employment?
Friday’s employment report came in weaker than expected, which is, weirdly, very good news for the economy and the Fed. The important point is that it was weak, but not too weak. It was just right.
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