Michael Lebowitz | TalkMarkets | Page 4
Founding Partner - 720 Global and Partner at Real Investment Advice
Contributor's Links: 720 Global
As a strategic investment consultant, 720 Global focuses on enabling our clients, professional investment managers, to raise their quality of service and increase profitability. Our services provide you with expertise in capital markets, macroeconomic research and analysis, asset allocation, ...more

All Contributions

Latest Posts
49 to 64 of 444 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 28 >>>
The Dollars Death, Not So Fast
The old saying goes that the U.S. dollar is the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry. Once again, talk of the dollar’s death will likely be proven false.
Bills, Notes Or Bonds?
While the Fed is an important variable in the performance of all bills, notes, and bonds, its actions significantly impact shorter-term bills and have less influence on longer-term notes and bonds.
A Federal Reserve Pivot Is Not Bullish
The Federal Reserve is outspoken about its desire to get inflation to its 2% target. If they were to pivot by as much and as soon as the market predicts, something has broken.
Phase Two Of The Fed Follies
Stocks may rally in the coming weeks or months as it appears the banking crisis is over, and the Fed is set to pause and pivot. We offer caution; this may be the calm before the recession.
Aftershock Life After Silicon Valley Bank
While headlines of bank failures and bailouts consume the media, few are contemplating the economic and financial aftershocks that will follow.
Speak Loudly Because You Carry A Small Stick
The big question facing the Fed is whether they should increase the Fed Funds rate by 25bps or 50bps on March 22, 2023.
The No Landing Scenario And UFOs
Unlike a soft landing that envisions the Fed action’s dampening economic growth, the no landing scenario believes the economy will continue to grow at or above the trend growth rate.
Gold Investors Are Betting On The Fed
By owning gold, investors are not necessarily hedging against a government default but ironically betting the Fed will increasingly misuse monetary policy to help the government avoid defaulting.
Janet Yellen Should Focus On HOPE
HOPE is an acronym describing the lags and the sequence in which economic activity typically weakens before a recession.
Soft Landing Or Recession?
To better appreciate what a recession is and how we can better track the odds of a recession, we lean on the arbiter of recessions, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
Turmoil Lurks Around The Corner
Today, we are increasingly alarmed that another trading tool similar to portfolio insurance could set markets up for a bout of turmoil. 
Passive Value Investors Are Not Value Investors
Value investing has morphed into buying the largest companies simply because they are labeled “value” by the banks and brokers that are heavily incentivized to grow their asset base on which they earn fees.
Treasury Bonds FAQ
While other investors fret over yesterday’s inflation we look toward tomorrow’s inflation. Assuming monthly inflation rates remain low or decline further as we suspect bonds offer an incredible opportunity to earn historically attractive real yields.
Lower Stock Prices Are The Fed’s Goal
Fed members will not say it as bluntly as we do, but they have a long-held belief that stock prices directly impact the economy and, therefore, inflation.
Three Paths For 2023
Expect the unexpected in 2023 and keep the Fed’s path top of mind.
Capital Neglect Is Killing Capitalism
Repeatedly manipulating the price of capital results in weaker productivity growth and ultimately reduced economic activity. Ultimately it is the citizens that pay the price.
49 to 64 of 444 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 28 >>>