Michael Lebowitz | TalkMarkets | Page 5
Founding Partner - 720 Global and Partner at Real Investment Advice
Contributor's Links: 720 Global
As a strategic investment consultant, 720 Global focuses on enabling our clients, professional investment managers, to raise their quality of service and increase profitability. Our services provide you with expertise in capital markets, macroeconomic research and analysis, asset allocation, ...more

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Our Currency, The World’s Problem - Part I
To foresee the next crisis, it is imperative to understand the dollar’s role in global finance and economics and the resulting role that the Fed plays in influencing international monetary policy.
Finance Is At Fault, Not Russia, Powell, Or Biden
The financial media likes to have definitive explanations for every market gyration. We venture that in their current quest to explain this bear market.
MBS, Convexity Vortex, And A Silver Lining For Bonds
Instead of complaining about recent bond losses, our time is better spent exploring the machinations of MBS investors to help assess where yields might be going.
Picking Stocks In A Bond-Friendly Environment
Picking the right stocks instead of the most popular ones may be more rewarding than investors have grown accustomed to.
Goodbye TINA – Hello BAAA
The bond market sheep are now speaking up and saying BAAA. With U.S. Treasury yields around 4% and corporate bonds yields even higher, we might want to consider BAAA– Bonds Are An Alternative.
Corporate Profit Growth Will Slow, Says The Fed
Michael Smolyansky, a senior Fed economist, claims corporate profit growth will slow appreciably. His case rests on corporate tax rates and interest rates.
Tail Risk And Persistent Inflation
Given the lasting financial toll often caused by severe and unexpected adverse price movements, investors must appreciate potential causes of tail risk.
Yields Are Defying Yesterday’s Logic
Economic activity is slowing, inflation expectations are falling, the Fed is aggressively fighting inflation, and QT has begun. In the past, those factors were a surefire recipe for a rip-roaring bond rally. Today bond yields defy yesterday’s logic.
Consumer Staples Vs. Discretionary
Earnings for consumer staples and discretionary companies rely heavily on individual consumers’ financial health and sentiment.
Bear Market Wealth Management
The amount of time spent in bear markets is minimal, but the time lost recovering your wealth can be substantial.
Deglobalization And Central Banking
Investors are comfortable with a Fed that willingly lowers rates and does QE at the first sign of economic or market trouble. That may change if higher inflation is more persistent.
Will Powell Pivot? Don’t Count On It
Stocks are rallying on hopes that Jerome Powell and the Fed will stop increasing interest rates this fall, pivot, and start reducing them next year.
Persistent Inflation Scares The Fed
The Fed is in the driver’s seat, and its reaction to inflation will dictate market returns.
Inflation Or Recession, Which Concern Is Driving The Market?
Investors paying attention to the Fed and the market’s take on the Fed will be best situated to withstand what could be a volatile second half of the year.
Liquidity And Valuations – The Cornerstones Of Investing
Valuations help investors gauge the potential downside risk and upside potential in a stock or market, as well assessing liquidity conditions, including technical analysis, defining short-term trends, and helping with timing and asset selection.
Japan And Europe – The Trolley Car Problem
While the situations in the U.S., Europe, and Japan are different, all three areas are paying the price for years of fiscal and monetary tomfoolery.
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