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Blogger at Political Calculations
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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more

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S&P 500 Chases After Bad News Toward New High
For a week that had more negative than positive headlines, the S&P 500 perhaps surprisingly turned in a pretty good week. The index rose 1.8% to 4,783.83.
Snapshot Of The S&P 500's Market Cap
As of the end of 2023, the S&P 500 was approaching that record high again. The index ended 2023 with a market cap of $40.04 trillion.
Rising CO₂ In Air Points To China Economic Recovery
The rate at which carbon dioxide accumulates in the Earth's atmosphere is directly affected by human activities.
U.S. Trade With China, World Continues Sinking
One month after showing signs of bottoming, trade between the U.S. and China plunged in November 2023.
New Home Unaffordability Rises Despite Lower Mortgage Rates
New homes became more unaffordable for the typical American household in November 2023.
The S&P 500 Retreats In First Trading Week Of 2024
The S&P 500 retreated 1.5% in the first trading week of 2024. The index closed out the week at 4,697.24.
Median Household Income In November 2023
The estimated income earned by a household at the exact middle of the income distribution in the United States increased by $205, or 0.27%.
Dividends By The Numbers In December 2023 And 2023-Q4
2023 has come to an end, leaving behind a mixed legacy. For dividend-paying stocks, December 2023 was representative of 2023 as a whole.
S&P 500 Falls Short Of Reaching New High As 2023 Ends And 2024 Begins
The S&P 500 came close to reaching and surpassing its two-year-old record high of 4,796.56 from 3 January 2022 in the final weeks of 2023.
Your Paycheck In 2024
Welcome to 2024! We know you're here to estimate what your take home pay will look like after all those federal income and payroll taxes have been taken out of your paycheck. But do you know when federal income tax withholding became a thing?
What's Your U.S. Income Percentile?
Where do you fall on the distribution of income in the United States? We can help you answer this question using the data that the U.S. Census Bureau has collected on the total money income earned by individual Americans.
Lifetime Income Trajectories By Education Level
Your education level can have a profound effect on how much money you can expect to earn throughout your life.
S&P 500 Jumps After Fed Pivots On 2024 Rate Cuts
The S&P 500 rose for the seventh week in a row. The index closed out the week at 4719.19, almost a 2.5% increase over where it closed the previous week.
U.S.-China Trade Recession Shows Signs Of Bottoming
A surge in goods traded between the U.S. and China in September and October 2023 may have helped set a bottom in the ongoing trade recession between the two nations.
US Recession Odds Recede To Two Out Of Three Chance In 2024
The probability the U.S. economy will experience an official period of recession sometime in the next twelve months continued to recede during the past six weeks.
Investors Shift Time Horizon To More Distant Future
The S&P 500 didn't change much during the first full trading week of December 2023. The index closed the week at 4604.37, up 0.2% from where it closed out the previous week.
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