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Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist
Contributor's Links: Gains Pains & Capital Phoenix Capital Research
Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Research, an independent investment research firm based in Washington DC with clients in 56 countries around the world. Graham’s clients include over 20,000 retail investors as ...more
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The Fed Has Made A Crucial Mistake… What Does That Mean For Stocks?
Tuesday, May 7, 2024 12:26 PM EDT
Stocks are being pulled in two directions shifting from focusing on potential Fed easing, to worrying about higher inflation resulting in the Fed having to tighten again.
In this article: SPX
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Immigration, Wages, And The Phillips Curve
Saturday, May 4, 2024 7:32 AM EDT
As you may know, the actual Phillips Curve is about the relationship between unemployment and wage inflation.
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Why Stocks Are Falling… And What Comes Next
Thursday, April 18, 2024 11:26 AM EDT
The S&P 500 has now dropped 4% and is below its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since November 2023.
In this article: SPX
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The Second Wave Of Inflation Has Arrived
Thursday, April 11, 2024 3:00 PM EDT
The only part of the inflation data that is down is energy prices (and used cars which receives almost no weight). Every other segment of the CPI continues to rise.
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Are You Ready For The Second Wave Of Inflation?
Monday, April 1, 2024 3:25 PM EDT
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index rose 6% in January. This is up from 5.6% in December 2023.
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How The Fed Is Juicing Stocks To Help The Biden Administration
Wednesday, March 27, 2024 10:13 AM EDT
The Fed is supposed to be draining liquidity from the financial system via its Quantitative Tightening program. However, the Fed is also providing $155 billion in liquidity via its overnight credit facilities.
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How We Know The Inflation Data Is Fiction
Wednesday, March 20, 2024 8:31 AM EDT
Media shills like to argue that Biden is unpopular because Americans are “wrong” or “misguided” due to “disinformation.” But we have to remember that these are the same people who told us inflation was “transitory” for most of 2021 and 2022.
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Will Your Portfolio Be Crushed By The Fed’s Screw Up?
Monday, March 18, 2024 7:17 AM EDT
Starting in November of 2023, Fed officials began proclaiming that inflation had been tamed. The argument, at the time, was that inflation data was clearly trending down, while rates were much higher.
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Warning: Inflation Is Going The Wrong Way Again!
Saturday, March 16, 2024 5:58 AM EDT
Throughout 2023, I warned that inflation was not really disappearing from the financial system. Time and again I noted that the ONLY data in the inflation measure that had declined was energy prices. 
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Inflation Is Back… And The Fed Won’t Be Cutting Rates Any Time Soon
Tuesday, February 20, 2024 12:43 PM EDT
Inflation is going in the wrong direction again… and that is bad news for stocks.
In this article: SPX
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Four Charts Every Trader Needs To See Today
Saturday, February 17, 2024 4:13 AM EDT
As I’ve noted previously, the  S&P 500 is quite extended above both its 10-week moving average (same as the 50-DMA) as well as the 40-week moving average (same as the 200-DMA).
In this article: LLY, QQQ, AMZN, NVDA, DIA, XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLU, XLV, XLY, META, SPX, XLC
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I Have A Serious Question For You
Wednesday, February 7, 2024 9:17 AM EDT
The economic data in the US is telling us that the economy is booming. GDP growth is roaring at annualized rate of over 4%. Unemployment is collapsing, with over 300,000 new jobs being created last month. Believing it?
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Market Forecast Based On Earnings So Far
Wednesday, January 31, 2024 1:18 PM EDT
The markets are now fully into earnings season.
In this article: SPX Also: AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, GOOGL
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Three Charts Every Trader Needs To See
Wednesday, January 24, 2024 1:21 PM EDT
Stocks aren’t taking a breather. The S&P 500 is up nearly 150 points in just five sessions.
In this article: SPY, SPX
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The U.S. Government Has Set The Stage For A Debt Crisis
Monday, January 8, 2024 10:40 AM EDT
Since early 2023, numerous pundits and gurus have been calling for a recession. And despite numerous indicators flashing that one is coming, the recession has yet to arrive. Why?
In this article: GLD
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One Of The Indicators For Timing The Market Is Flashing A Warning
Wednesday, January 3, 2024 12:56 PM EDT
One of the best means of predicting stock market moves is to focus on “market leading” indicators, or assets that typically lead stocks to the upside and the downside during market turns.
In this article: SPX Also: HYG
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