Carmine Gorga Blog | A Comprehensive Analysis of the Cassidy-Graham Bill, Through Concordian Economics 101 | TalkMarkets
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Carmine Gorga is president of The Somist Institute and a former Fulbright Scholar. He has published numerous papers in peer-reviewed journals and five books; other publications are at various stages of preparation. He has a substantial presence on the ...more

A Comprehensive Analysis of the Cassidy-Graham Bill, Through Concordian Economics 101

Date: Friday, September 22, 2017 10:58 PM EDT

Much has been written about the steadily evolving Graham-Cassidy Health-Care Bill. One point remains to be explored.

It is quite well understood that millions of people stand to lose their health care insurance and that savings might be apportioned among wealthy taxpayers and corporations.

Let us not mince words. The concern is about money, not patients. If the concern were about people, the focus would not be on money spent or saved; the concern would simply be on people. 

Who stands to gain money from an eventual implementation of the Graham-Cassidy Health-Care Bill? This much seems to be clear: wealthy taxpayers and corporations.   

The point that remains to be analyzed is this: Who loses money? No one seems to ask this question. 

Who stands to lose money in the Graham-Cassidy Health-Care Bill? To ask the question is to immediately find the answer. 

It seems that in a superficial reading and understanding of the Bill, voters are left with the impression that the government spends money for the financial benefit of patients.

This is a large misconception.

Patients are a convenient humanitarian reason to spend money; but patients never see the money. 

Even in the case of smaller co-pay and insurance subsidies, patients do not receive money. They simply spend less of their money.

Those who receive money are doctors and nurses, the administrative staffs of hospitals and the administrative staffs of insurance companies. 

Who else receives money? When the accounts are closed, profits left over from yearly expenses go to the stockholders of hospitals, unless they are not-for-profit organizations, and to stockholders of insurance companies.

Unseen even in this discussion are all intermediaries engaged as suppliers and consultants to hospitals and insurance corporations who perform services unavailable in-house as well as lawyers and planners and even engineers, in case of new construction or renovation of hospitals—and nursing homes.

These are the people who stand to lose money.

Let us now revisit the issue of who gains money.

Who stands to potentially gain from the Graham-Cassidy Health-Care Bill?

Clearly, the taxpayers who are now footing the health care bill.

Lots of caveats here.

First and foremost is the determination of the category of taxpayers who actually receive money from health care expenditure.

If these taxpayers, namely all the categories of people mentioned above, doctors, nurses, etc., do not receive income in compensation for their services because fewer people have health care coverage, for them the potential benefit of a tax reduction might be a wash-up. It might be totally ephemeral. 

In this context, the conversation becomes a bit obscure because we are not certain as to the source of the money that is actually spent by the government on health care. Some of this money undoubtedly comes from taxes; other money comes from borrowing—more specifically, it comes from an increase in national debt.

At this point, the conversation becomes much broader. The fact is that national debt is increasing for many reasons: repayment of past debt, administrative expenses, military expenditures, corporate welfare and then, indeed, “welfare,” money spent on people.

To be open and honest, all these issues ought to be put on the balance and considered carefully. To do it in a hurry, only in relation to health care expenditures—or even in relation to Medicare—is rather shortsighted. It inevitably leads to conflict of interests.

Is this statesmanship? Is this responsible care of the affairs of the state? The affairs of our nation?

Looking at things from the point of view of Concordian economics, a new paradigm in which everything is connected with everything else, these are some of the considerations that result from a comprehensive analysis of the Graham-Cassidy Health-Care Bill.

The central point we have seen is that, since there is much inequality in the distribution of the tax burden as well as the distribution of income, some will gain more than others. But, on the whole, for most taxpayers who stand either to lose their jobs, or to receive less income, puff: All financial gains from potential taxpayers’ reductions disappear; they are balanced by all financial losses that appear from reductions in employment income and even profits.

This is the magic of true, comprehensive accounting.

Only the pain of untreated patients remains.

Only the patients who would not be treated are the ones who would suffer a real loss.

But wait. The multiplier suggests that losses—and gains—are never equal to initial input. If the overall production process is affected, widespread losses might affect even the richest taxpayers.

And then, a random thought: No one really knows how manias and panics spread. Might the next financial crush be sparked by the sudden extraction of billions from circulation that are planned to be granted to as taxpayers deductions?

 

 

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Bill Myers 6 years ago Member's comment

Interesting, thanks.