Ivan Kitov | TalkMarkets | Page 5
Lead Researcher at Institute for the Geospheres' Dynamics, Russian Academy of Sciences
Contributor's Links: Economics as Classical Mechanics
I am a Doctor of Physics and Mathematics, Lead Researcher at the Institute for the Geospheres' Dynamics, Russian Academy of Sciences. Founding member of the Society for the Study of Economic Inequality. Published three monographs in economics and finances: Deterministic mechanics of ...more

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Oil Will Not Rise During The Next 15 Years
The oil trend is now positive and is likely approaching the mid-point of the linear segment.
The Price Of Steel And Iron Will Be Falling, But Not Long
The overall trend is still positive, i.e. the price of iron and steel falls faster than the overall PPI.
Copper Price May Fall Deeper And Aluminum Is Close To The Bottom
We have to admit that there are no sustainable trends in the copper index and the future of the copper ores index cannot be predicted at a ten-year horizon.
Illustration Of Falling Economic Growth In Developed Countries
Analysis of GDP per capita in developed countries and BRIC. Many developed countries demonstrate poor performance.
Modeling Economic Success Of Poland And Failure In Russia And Ukraine. The 2015 Model Revision
Poland is likely the best performer between the former socialist countries. Poland fully uses its growth potential – real GDP per capita grows at a rate of 3% per year since 1991.
Income And Gender
The male and female curves intersect at $14,000 in 1986 and at $30,000 in 2014 and then the male curve deviates further and further from the female curve. The male-female difference has been likely decreasing with time.
The Pareto Distribution Of Top Incomes
For personal incomes, the point of transition is equivalent to some threshold, which separates sub- and super-critical regimes of income distribution...
The Income Critical Age
When predicting incomes, we use the entire population. One could claim that there exists a strong external process, which forces the exponential fall on top of the grown related to the original capacity to earn money.
Physical Intuition Behind Income Distribution
I present you a microeconomic model which has been developed to quantitatively describe the dynamics of personal income growth and distribution.
Income Distribution: Cross Country Comparison - Canada Vs. USA
Canada provides a set of mean income data covering practically the whole population and the period since 1976, but the data on personal income evolution with age are limited to the period between 2000 and 2013.
Income Distribution: Cross Country Comparison - New Zealand Vs. USA
The estimates of real GDP per capita in New Zealand are $15,404 and $20,526 for 1998 and 2014, respectively. Theoretically, the working experience should increase from 32 years to 36.9 years.
Income Distribution: Cross Country Comparison
The dependence of mean income and proportion of people with the highest incomes on age provides reliable measures of the evolutionary behavior and robust statistical inferences related to the driving force behind this evolution.
Income Inequality: Race And Gender Issues
The evolution of age-dependent mean income demonstrates the overall lag between income earned by people of different gender and race, which cannot be surmounted without dramatic changes to the root social relationships between races and genders.
Unfairness Of Income Distribution - Gender Issue
Mean income as a function of age for the year of 2013. Income is in 2013 US dollars. Two important features – lower mean incomes for females and earlier (age) peak value for female.
Modeling The Price Of Crude Oil And Motor Fuel: A Five-year Revision
According to our model, the price of crude oil will fall to $30 per barrel during the next 6 years and motor fuel will follow the same trend.
The Era Of Low Energy Price Will Last 10 Years With Oil At $20
We have been studying the long-term evolution of energy prices in the USA since 2007 and reported several important observations useful for profitable and safe investments.
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