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Blogger at Political Calculations
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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more

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The S&P 500 In Week 2 Of November 2016
The second week of November 2016 was everything a bored market watcher could hope for, and more!
After The Markets Rumbled
Markets are different today than they were in 1929. They don't wait anywhere near as long to prove the pronouncements of otherwise brilliant economists to be wrong. It's a big part of what makes them so fascinating to observe.
Noise And Order In The S&P 500 Before Election Day
For the U.S. stock market, a close call to a break down in the relative period of order that has existed since the end of the first quarter of 2016.
The S&P 500 In Week 1 Of November
The first week of November 2016 ended with a whimper, even though the S&P 500 fell for the ninth consecutive day - something it hasn't done since 1980!
Will The S&P 500 Make It 9 Losing Days In A Row?
Over the past eight trading days, the S&P 500 is doing something highly unusual in having declined in value from the previous day's closing value in each of those days.
The Trends For Median Household Income In The U.S. In 2016
After having stalled out at a nominal average value of approximately $57,200 from December 2015 through July 2016, median household income appears to have begun increasing again in recent months, with September 2016 seeing the figure rise to $57,616.
Dividends Delivering Mixed Message For U.S. Economy
We now have S&P's monthly dividend report for October 2016, so we now have a more complete picture of what the trends for dividends are communicating about the relative health of the U.S. economy.
2016-Q4 Off To Similar Start As 2016-Q3
We first confirm that recessionary conditions continue to be present within the U.S. economy, but at a reduced level with respect to the first two-quarters of 2016.
The S&P 500 In Week 4 Of October 2016
In the fourth week of October 2016, the S&P 500 ended the week lower than it began, as stock prices also fell from the level at which they closed in Week 3.
How Reported New Home Median Sale Prices Change Over Time
Yesterday, the U.S. Census Bureau released its latest data on the average and median sale prices of new homes in the United States, with the newest data being reported for September 2016.
Of Soup And Silver And The Zombie Apocalypse
Once upon a time, and for a very long time, Americans could buy a single can of Campbell's Condensed Tomato Soup for the price of just one dime.
The S&P 500 In Week 3 Of October 2016
The indicated trajectories for the period from 18 October 2016 to 21 November 2016 represents an echo of the noisy volatility that the S&P 500 experienced a year ago.
Does Fundamental Indexing Outperform Market Capitalization?
Modern portfolio theory suggests that the optimal way to weight stocks within an index is according to their market capitalization.
How Well Off Are Typical Americans Today?
That's a difficult question to answer using conventional economic statistics like GDP, because over time, GDP has become an increasingly less representative measure of the quality of life that Americans enjoy.
The S&P 500 In Week 2 Of October 2016
From all appearances, investors have indeed shifted their forward-looking focus to the current quarter of 2016-Q4 in setting stock prices.
An Eerie Echo In The S&P 500
The S&P 500 is acting like its about to repeat a rather dramatic period in its history.
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