Graham Summers | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Chief Market Strategist
Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Research, an independent investment research firm based in Washington DC with clients in 56 countries around the world. Graham’s clients include over 20,000 retail investors as ...more

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Three Charts Every Investor Needs To See Today
The line in then sand for the S&P 500 was 4,460. Stocks broke through it on Friday. They failed to reclaim it yesterday. This is quite bearish.
I Sincerely Hope This Chart Doesn’t Come True
In very simple terms, the Fed sent a message that rates will need to be higher for longer to end inflation. The markets took the news hard, with bonds, stocks, and even oil all selling off simultaneously this week.
The Single Most Important Bond In The World Is Breaking Down
Our financial system is backed by debt, specifically, U.S. Government debt or Treasuries. These bonds are the senior-most assets in the world, representing the bedrock of our banking system and financial markets.
The Great Debt Crisis Of Our Lifetimes Is Just Around The Corner - Are You Ready?
As S&P Global recently noted, global debt has just hit $300 TRILLION for the first time in history. As if that wasn’t jaw dropping enough, this amount of debt represents 349% of global GDP.
Three Charts Every Investors Needs To See Today
It’s a well known “secret” on Wall Street that the official inflation measure, the Consumer Price Index, or CPI, is heavily massaged to UNDER-state inflation. However, even the CPI, with all of its gimmicks is showing inflation bottomed in June. 
Warning, The Second Wave Of Inflation Has Arrived
By quick way of review, the official inflation metric, the CPI, is measured on a year over year basis. So, when the CPI is 5.5%, for instance, what it’s saying is that prices are 5.5% higher than they were during the same month the year before.
Did Stocks Just Kiss Good-Bye?
The S&P 500 first broke below its 50-day moving average (DMA) in August of 2023. This was a significant development as it was the first time the S&P 500 had lost this support since the March 2023 lows.
Warning: Investors Are Buying Stocks Based On FAKE Jobs Numbers
Releasing economic data that initially suggests the economy is booming, only for that same data to be revised downward multiple times in subsequent months.
One Of These Is Wrong - Will You Profit From What’s Coming?
If longer duration Treasury yields continue to drop, then stocks will find a bottom of sorts. But if Treasury yields continue to rise, particularly on the all-important 10-Year U.S. Treasury, then stocks will be repriced to much lower levels.
This Is The Most Important Chart In The World
Ever since the U.S. abandoned the Gold Standard in 1971, U.S. debt, also called Treasuries have become the bedrock of our financial system. 
The Selling Might Be Done For Now
Tech is a long-duration play, meaning it is heavily affected by the yield on longer-term Treasuries. The odds of the yield on the 10-Year U.S. Treasury breaking above its current levels right here and now are not high.
Ignore The Noise, This Is The Framework For The Markets Today
There are red flags out there, but these are warnings not signals that it’s time to get bearish. The purpose of investing is to make money, not miss out on gains because of a warning. So we ride this bull run for as long as we can until it ends.
The Fed Has Created Another Bubble… Are You Prepared For When It Bursts?
The Fed and the Treasury implemented a backdoor bailout of the banking system.
Why The Fed Has Failed To End Inflation - What It Means For Your Portfolio
The only data points in the CPI that are down year over year are energy prices. When you strip out energy and food prices you find that core CPI is only slightly down.
Inflation May Have Just Bottomed In 2023
On a year over year basis, the massive drop in energy prices that has lowered overall CPI considerably will be ending.
The U.S. Is Now An Emerging Market
The U.S. now has a Debt to GDP ratio of over 120%. The government is running the largest peacetime deficit relative to GDP in history.
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