Intelligence and International Geopolitics Expert

Born in Hungary in 1949 to Jewish parents who survived the Holocaust and horrors of WWII, George Friedman witnessed a devastated Europe. In an effort to escape communism, his family fled to a refugee camp in Austria before immigrating to the United States.

Determined to discover those ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

The Far Reaches Of US Soft Power
The Russian ruble, Turkish lira, and Iranian rial are all falling in value.
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The Limits Of China’s Economic Power
The countries of East Asia are worried about the coercive power of Beijing’s pocketbook. And perhaps they should be. China is flush with money and it’s only a matter of time before Beijing tries to cash in.
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The Saudi-Qatar Diplomatic Dispute, Six Months Later
Six months ago, the Gulf Cooperation Council, helmed as always by its de facto leader Saudi Arabia, severed diplomatic ties with Qatar. This move was apparently meant to punish the country for its supposed support of terrorism.
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Is "Geopolitical Risk" Behind Rising Oil Prices?
Toward the end of October, Brent crude prices crossed $60 per barrel for the first time in two years. They continued their ascent, peaking at around $64.
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Why The Next US Recession Could Be Worse Than The Last
For the past 40 years in the US, the rich have been getting richer, the poor have been getting poorer, and the middle class has been disappearing.
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In China, More Regulation Does Not Mean More Enforcement
China understands that its financial system is at risk. Between the central bank governor’s letter, Xi’s speeches, and the constant creation of new regulations and committees, Beijing is making no effort to hide it.
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Chinese Military Installations In The South China Sea
China is building up military capabilities on the contested reefs, but the installations are primarily for defensive purposes.

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Publications

Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe
George Friedman
Anchor
02/16/2016

For the past five hundred years, Europe has been the nexus of global culture and power. But throughout most of that history, most European countries have also been volatile and unstable—some even ground zero for catastrophic wars. As Friedman explores the continent’s history region by region, he examines the centuries-long struggles for power and territory among the empires of Spain, Britain, Germany, and Russia that have led to present-day crises: economic instability in Greece; breakaway states threatening the status quo in Spain, Belgium, and the United Kingdom; and a rising tide of migrants disrupting social order in many EU countries. Readers will gain a new understanding of the current and historical forces at work—and a new appreciation of how valuable and fragile peace can be.

Los próximos 100 años: Pronósticos para el siglo XXI (Ensayo) (Spanish Edition)
George Friedman
Océano exprés
03/28/2013
The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going
George Friedman
Anchor; Reprint edition
01/10/2012

In the long view, history is seen as a series of events—but the course of those events is determined by individuals and their actions. During the next ten years, individual leaders will face significant transitions for their nations: the United States’ relationships with Iran and Israel will be undergoing changes, China will likely confront a major crisis, and the wars in the Islamic world will subside. Unexpected energy and technology developments will emerge, and labor shortages will begin to matter more than financial crises. Distinguished geopolitical forecaster George Friedmananalyzes these events from the perspectives of the men and women leading these global changes, focusing in particular on the American president, who will require extraordinary skills to shepherd the United States through this transitional period. The Next Decade is a provocative and fascinating look at the conflicts and opportunities that lie ahead.

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
George Friedman
Anchor
01/27/2009

The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era—with changes in store, including:
• The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude—replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia.
• China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power.
• A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly.
• Technology will focus on space—both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications
• The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century

America's Secret War: Inside the Hidden Worldwide Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies
George Friedman
Anchor; Reprint edition
10/11/2005

In America's Secret War, George Friedman identifies the United States’ most dangerous enemies, delves into presidential strategies of the last quarter century, and reveals the real reasons behind the attack of 9/11—and the Bush administration’s motivation for the war in Iraq. It describes in eye-opening detail America’s covert and overt efforts in the global war against terrorism: Not only are U.S. armies in combat on every continent, but since 9/11 the intelligence services of dozens of nations have been operating in close partnership with the CIA.

The Future of War: Power, Technology and American World Dominance in the Twenty-first Century
George Friedman
St. Martin's Griffin
02/15/1998

The Future of War makes a brilliant case that the twenty-first century, even more than the twentieth, will be the American century, and that America's global dominance will be associated with a revolution in weaponry and warfare as basic as the one that arose with the development of gunpowder five hundred years ago. From the era of flintlocks and cannons to the day of automatic weapons and heavy artillery, the waging of war-while undeniably changing in many aspects-has continued to rely on the technology that began with the use of black powder to expel a projectile through a tube.

The Intelligence Edge: How to Profit in the Information Age
George Friedman
Crown Business
10/28/1997

The Intelligence Edge provides you with tools honed by the world's premier intelligence-gathering professionals. The authors show how to use techniques perfected by such organizations as the CIA on how to find and collect, prioritize, and analyze data. They present a comprehensive system of information management that will teach you how to identify and target different sources of information, from the library to the internet to company gossip. Because some information is expensive or difficult to access, you will learn how to use your time and resources in the most efficient way possible. Then, once you have collected the information you need, you will be shown how to use it--what to store, what to discard, what to turn to your advantage. By following these steps, you can learn to compete and prosper in today's knowledge-based business environment.

The Coming War With Japan
George Friedman
St Martins Pr
03/28/1992

Argues that the post-Cold War world will see the United States and Japan emerge as opponents, traces Japan's increasing power, and contends the United States holds the trump cards in the economic contest.