Doug Short | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Vice President of Research at Advisor Perspectives
Contributor's Links: Advisor Perspectives
My original dshort.com website was launched in February 2005 using a domain name based on my real name, Doug Short. I'm a formerly retired first wave boomer with a Ph.D. in English from Duke and a lifelong interest in economics and finance. In 2011 my website was acquired by more

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Inflation: An X-Ray View Of All The Components
Year-over-year Core CPI (the blue line) has been above 2% since the end of 2015 after about three years below that benchmark. The more volatile Headline CPI has spent most of the previous five years under the 2% lower benchmark.
Weekly Heating Oil Prices Unchanged
With some forecasts predicting a very cold and bitter winter ahead, we present our seasonal heating oil update. We will be following this closely throughout the season.
S&P 500 Snapshot: A Decline In Advance Of The Inauguration
The S&P 500 hit its 0.11% intraday high five minutes into the session and then sold off steadily to its 2 PM plunge to its -0.59% intraday low. The 500 has alternated between gains and losses for the past six sessions.
Weekly Unemployment Claims: Down 15K, Beating Consensus
Here is a close look at the data over the past few years (with a callout for the past year), which gives a clearer sense of the overall trend in relation to the last recession and the volatility in recent months.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: December Real Retail Sales - Jan. 2017
The US economy has been slow in recovering from the Great Recession, and the overall picture has been a mixed bag for well over a year and counting. Employment and income have been relatively strong.
A Long-Term Look At Inflation - Jan. 19, 2017
The latest Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.07%. It is substantially below the 3.77% average since the end of the Second World War but above its 10-year moving average, now at 1.77%.
S&P 500 Snapshot: A Modest Gain On Light Volume
The S&P 500 hit its -0.20% intraday low five minutes into the session and then recovered to a narrow trading range around the flat line through most of the session.
What Inflation Means To You: Inside The Consumer Price Index - Wednesday, Jan. 18
The one thing we can be certain about is this: Inflation volatility has a painful effect on lower income households, those on fixed incomes, those with higher ratios of tuition, transportation, or medical costs.
NAHB Housing Market Index: "Builder Confidence Holds Firm In January"
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index (HMI) is a gauge of builder opinion on the relative level of current and future single-family home sales.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: A December Bounce
Today's report on Industrial Production for December shows a month-over-month increase of 0.8 percent (0.83 percent to two decimals), which was above the Investing.com consensus of a 0.6 percent increase.
Consumer Price Index: Headline CPI Rises Above 2%
Year-over-year Core CPI (ex Food and Energy) came in at 2.20%, up from the previous month's 2.11%. This is the first month of Headline CPI above 2% since June 2014, 30 months ago.
Weekly Gasoline Price Update: Regular And Premium Down Three Cents
The WTIC end of day spot price closed at 52.48, up 0.52 from this time last week. How far are we from the interim high prices of 2011 and the all-time highs of 2008?
S&P 500 Snapshot: Another Lackluster Session As We Approach The Inauguration
The S&P 500 sank at the open to a morning low about 15 minutes into the session. A buy-the-dip trade promptly lifted the index to its -0.11% intraday high, after which it traded in a narrow range to mid-afternoon selloff to its -0.52% intraday low.
Vehicle Miles Traveled: Another Look At Our Evolving Behavior - Tuesday, Jan. 17
The sharp decline in gasoline prices that started in mid-2014 has been accompanied by a conspicuous rise in miles traveled. It will be interesting to see how this correlation plays out in the months ahead.
Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Continued Modest Growth
This morning we got the latest Empire State Manufacturing Survey which shows continued modest growth. The diffusion index for General Business Conditions at 6.5 was little changed from the previous month's 7.6, which was a downward revision from 9.0.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Up 0.18% For The Day, Down 0.10% For The Week
The S&P 500 rose at the open, hitting its 0.36% intraday high about 15 minutes into the session on strong bank earnings.
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