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David A. Stockman is the ultimate Washington insider turned iconoclast. He began his career in Washington as a young man and quickly rose through the ranks of the Republican Party to become the Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan. After leaving the White ...more

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Lemmings In Full Stampede Toward The Fiscal Cliff
From Bitcoin to Amazon, the financials, the Russell 2000 and most everything else in between, the casinos are digesting no information except the price action and are relentlessly rising on nothing more than pure momentum.
The GOP Tax Bill: Fuggedaboutit!
It's hard to see how a mere 0.8% "stimulus" to GDP is going to incite a tsunami of growth and jobs.
Don't You Believe It - The Melt-Up Madness
The melt-up madness now underway marks the most dangerous, unstable and combustible financial bubble in human history. It was fostered by Keynesian central bankers who were making it up as they went along.
The Delirious Dozen Of 2017
We noted the massive market cap inflation and then stupendous collapse of the Delirious Dozen of 2000. Together they represented a classic blow-off top in the context of a central bank corrupted stock market.
Here We Go Again - Swell Numbers Which Aren't
So Thursday's industrial production number for October actually signaled that the US industrial economy remains dead in the water; it is floundering in a manner that is off the historical charts---and not in a good way.
Three Strikes And You're Out!
As we keep insisting, monetary central planning systematically falsifies asset prices and corrupts the flow of financial information.
Funny Facts Friday
The funny numbers came in a veritable torrent today. For instance, the so-called U-3 unemployment rate dropped to a 17-year low of 4.1% for October.
The Trump Trade Dump - Why It's Coming Soon
The so-called tax expenditure (revenue loss) for defined benefit retirement plans is estimated by the Treasury Department at $1.05 trillion over the next decade, this big number includes non-401(k) plans and the employer share of 401(k) plans.
Why The King Of Debt Is So Wrong!
Donald Trump has always reminded anyone who would listen that he is the "King of Debt".
Black Monday - 30 Years Between The Monetary Book Ends
Before Black Monday in October 1987, the Fed's balance sheet had grown only sparingly, more or less in pace with nominal GDP.
Good Job, Fed! Monetary Stimulus And The 0.0001%
In April 2007 the approximate size of the Fed's balance sheet was $800 billion, meaning that over the last decade it ballooned by 5X to $4.4 trillion.
Unhinged And Unrepentant - The Central Bankers' Demolition Squad
The BLS' sawed-off price ruler known as the CPI was up 2.2% on a Y/Y basis in September. Not only is that in excess of the magic Fed target, but it's not a one-off monthly aberration, either.
Chart Of The Day: Mind The Machines
Since the 2007-2008 financial crisis, computer-based trading has been implicated in several sudden market moves. Here are four examples.
October 2017 - The Quadruple Witching Begins
Indeed, what is now upon us is the quadruple witching month of October, 2017. We are not talking about standard options expiration dates, of course, but instead refer to four matters that are enormously more consequential.
Chart Of The Day: What Corporate Deleveraging?
Of debt, nonfinancial companies bonds, C&I loans, and commercial paper.
Janet Yellen's Ptolemaic Monetary Universe
Since central bank balance sheets and financial market intrusions went parabolic at the turn of the century, the trend rate of US economic performance has been sinking like a stone.
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