Colin Lloyd | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Investment Writer - Presenter
Contributor's Links: In the Long Run
I have been following the ebb and flow of financial markets for more than 30 years. I have worked for brokers and asset managers in commodities, money markets, capital markets, equities and foreign exchange. My interests My interests include, but are not confined too, ...more

All Contributions

Latest Posts
33 to 48 of 76 Posts
Sustainable Government Debt – An Old Idea Refreshed
Pension fund return expectations for bonds and stocks need to be revised lower.
A World Of Debt – Where Are The Risks?
Since the financial crisis of 2008/2009 global debt has increased to reach a new all-time high.
Emerging Market Sensitivity To US Monetary Policy – What Does The Fed Think?
Emerging market currencies have suffered from US interest rate increases. If tightening is nearly complete there may be buying opportunities in EM stocks.
A Global Slowdown In 2019 – Is It Already In The Price?
US stocks have given back all of their 2018 gains. Several global stock markets are already in bear-market territory.
The Self-Righting Ship – Debt, Inflation And The Credit Cycle
Rising bond yields may already have tempered economic growth.
How Are Chinese Stocks Responding To Tariffs With The US And A Slowdown In Asian Growth?
Despite US tariffs, China’s September trade balance with the US reached a record high.
Not Waving But Drowning – Stocks, Debt And Inflation?
The US stock market is close to being in a corrective phase. Global debt has passed $63trln – above the levels of 2007. Interest rates remain historically low, given the point in the economic cycle.
UK Financial Services – Opportunities And Threats Post-Brexit – Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain?
A Brexit deal is still no closer, but trade will not cease after March Short-term UK and EU growth will suffer Medium-term transition will hold back capital investment Long-term, there will be opportunities which will eclipse the threats
Divergent – The Breakdown Of Stock Market Correlations, Temp Or Perm?
Emerging market stocks have stabilized, helped by the strength of US equities.
Canary In The Coal-Mine - Emerging Market Contagion
Emerging market currencies, bonds and stocks have weakened.
Where In The World? Hunting For Value In The Bond Market
Few government bond markets offer a positive real return.
Italy And The Repricing Of European Government Debt
The yield spread between 10yr BTPs and Bunds widened 114bp in May.
Robots, Employment And The Mis-Measurement Of Productivity
UK productivity – output/hour has risen 1.5% in a decade. UK unemployment, at 4.2%, is the lowest since April 1975. Robots may be coming but it’s not showing up in the data.
Is The US Exporting A Recession?
The Federal Reserve continue to raise rates as S&P earnings beat estimates. The ECB and BoJ maintain QE. Signs of a slowdown in growth are clearer outside the US.
Inflation Or Employment
Inflationary fears are growing and US rates continue to rise.
What To Expect From Central Bankers
As financial markets adjust to higher volatility, it is worth considering what the central banks might be thinking longer term. Commentators have been blaming geopolitics for the recent fall in stocks but central banks may be the root cause.
33 to 48 of 76 Posts