Director of Research at Pension Partners

Charles Bilello, winner of the 2014 Charles H. Dow Award and 3rd Place Winner of the 2014 Wagner Award, is the Director of ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

One Of The Most Overbought Markets In History
The Dow is trading at one of its most overbought levels in history. At 87.61, its 14-day RSI is higher than 99.999% of historical readings going back to 1900.
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When Backtests Fail
With data going back to January 1998, European junk bonds have delivered an annualized return of 7.1%. Not too shabby, especially in the era of negative interest rates.
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The Year Volatility Died
When it comes to market volatility, how low is low?
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When Mean Reversion Fails
Equities are overvalued and must go down. A recession is long overdue.
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EC Is The S&P The New Money Market?
Is the S&P indeed the new money market? Is it “safe” to “park your money” there for a few months with the expectation that it will only grow?
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A Public Service Announcement On Shorting Volatility
If you are thinking about shorting volatility today, truly understand the risk you are taking and ask yourself if you’re willing to accept the possibility of a substantial and even catastrophic loss.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AGG iShares Trust - iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average
EUFN iShares MSCI Europe Financials Sector Index Fund
IWC iShares Russell Microcap Index Fund
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund
IWV iShares Russell 3000 Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500
TLT iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund
XLU Utilities Select Sector SPDR

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