Timing Is Everything

Remember back in May when I shared this post?

Everyone was calling me crazy. “Are you stupid? You can’t bet against Amazon”

At the time, Amazon was just going from strength to strength and taking out rivals left, right and centre.

There was also some really nasty divergence on the long-term charts. So, I took a lottery style trade with the idea that Amazon would pull back to its 200-day moving average.

Stocks never stay above their 200 day moving average forever. Eventually, the stock either goes sideways for an extended period allowing the average to catch up, pulls back to the average or a combination of the two.

My trade thesis was that Amazon was overdue for a touch of the 200 day, and I was spot on with my opinion…….

Unfortunately, I was a few months out with my timing.

My expiry date was June 15th.

Amazon eventually had a 26% pullback and crossed below the 200-day moving average, but it didn’t happen until late October, so timing really is everything in the trading game.

 

Disclaimer: The information above is for educational purposes only and should not be treated as investment advice. The strategy presented would not be suitable for investors who are ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.