The Economic Impact Of Violence

When you regularly buy goods or services, it helps fuel the economy at both the local and national level.

But what if you live in a place like Syria, that is torn apart by a seven-year long civil war?

Aside from the obvious humanitarian costs, these dire circumstances would ultimately change your spending behavior, how businesses operate, and how capital gets utilized. The fact is that conflicts, homicides, terrorism, and other types of violence can hinder productivity and wealth creation, and this ultimately has an impact on families around the world.

CALCULATING AN ECONOMIC IMPACT

In today’s chart, we use data from the Global Peace Index 2018 report, which tries to put a figure on the expenditures and economic effects related to “containing, preventing and dealing with the consequences of violence”.

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Chart: The Economic Impact of Violence

According to the report, the economic impact of violence to the global economy was $14.76 trillion in 2017 in constant purchasing power parity (PPP) terms. This is roughly 12.4% of world gross domestic product (GDP), or $1,988 per person.

While those figures themselves are quite staggering, how it all breaks down is even more interesting.

VIOLENCE BY TYPE

Violence comes in many forms, so how does factor into the economic impact?

The Institute for Economics and Peace, the non-profit think tank that has authored the report for the last 12 years, breaks down economic impacts as follows:

Type of economic impact Share of total
Military expenditures 37.2%
Internal security & incarceration 27.4%
Homicide 16.6%
Conflict 8.0%
Private security 5.5%
Violent & sexual crime 4.0%
Other 1.3%

The vast majority of impact comes from military and security spending, which are both aimed at the prevention or containment of violence. Meanwhile, homicide and conflict – two more direct violent actions – are the next two biggest factors.

Here’s how this breaks down by region:

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Economic impact of violence by region

Dollars are going to military and security spending in North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. Meanwhile, it’s actual violence like homicides, conflict, and terrorism that cause economic havoc in South America, Central America, and Africa.

THE COUNTRIES MOST AFFECTED

Which countries are impacted the most by violence, as a percentage of their GDP?

Here are the top 10, as per the report:

Rank Country Economic impact (% of GDP)
#1 Syria 68%
#2 Afghanistan 63%
#3 Iraq 51%
#4 El Salvador 49%
#5 South Sudan 49%
#6 Central African Republic 38%
#7 Cyprus 37%
#8 Colombia 34%
#9 Lesotho 30%
#10 Somalia 30%

Syria, which has been in its civil war for seven years now, is the country most affected by the economic impact of violence. Meanwhile, war-torn Afghanistan is not far behind.

Interestingly, the cost of violence in Latin American countries is comparable to regions that have been at war for years. El Salvador ranks a surprising fourth place, due to its issues with gang activity and a sky-high homicide rate, and Colombia makes the list as well.

Disclosure: None.

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