S&P 500 Snapshot: A Modest Post-Debate Rally

Today the popular press was in general agreement that Hillary bested the Don in last night's debate, which apparently was a relief for Janet Yellen, who (according to a CNBC article) would quickly tender her resignation if Trump should become our 45th president. In any case, today our benchmark S&P 500 gyrated at open, showed indecision during the first 90 minutes of trading and then rose to its 0.70% intraday high in the early afternoon. It then traded in a narrow range and closed with a slightly trimmed gain of 0.64%, reclaiming a bit over half the pre-debate selloff following last week's "no rate hike" rally.

The yield on the 10-year note closed at 1.56%, down three basis points from the previous close.

Here is a snapshot of past five sessions in the S&P 500.

(Click on image to enlarge)

2eef46618d26528210b58312b46d3b07.png (650×415)

Here is daily chart of the index. Today's unremarkable trading volume suggests that the presidential debate mini-drama was a bit of a yawner. 

(Click on image to enlarge)

f395260d934a2fa5f890ae5e2eb6dab9.png (650×415)

A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here's a snapshot of selloffs since the 2009 trough.

(Click on image to enlarge)

0a16e4ba725769542f5dc4bcc8111f5a.png (911×662)

Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted. 

(Click on image to enlarge)

3fe479c3508159f7cf5f74a78e5735d0.png (911×662)

Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages. 

(Click on image to enlarge)

6dd3683e882d989844bed8f69eb86244.png (911×662)

A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We've also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.

(Click on image to enlarge)

9916b2cf0736e06a5bc5e8835c1ece6b.png (911×662)

Disclosure: None.

How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.