Prepare For Triple Digit Natural Gas Injections

The June natural gas contract ground higher yet again today following a supportive EIA print last Thursday and continued warm forecasts for the second half of May. 

natural gas commodity weather

Unlike Friday, today's move was prompt-led as well. 

natural gas commodity weather

This move comes as Gas Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) are likely to remain a bit above average through the next couple of weeks, as seen in our Morning Update today. 

natural gas commodity weather

Expectations of heat limiting future storage injections has certainly played a role in the recent bid prices have received, as have observations of heat over the last few days that have increased power burns. However, before the heat the last few days we saw very limited weather-driven natural gas demand this past week. 

natural gas commodity weather

The result is an expectation that Thursday the EIA will announce the largest storage injection to date. Already we have seen Dominion Transmission (DTI) announce their largest injection thus far of 10 bcf. 

natural gas commodity weather

As seen in our Weekly Natural Gas Report today, national stockpiles remain far below average currently, making the rate of future injections increasingly important as well. 

natural gas commodity weather


Of course, after Thursday's announced injection we will have to factor in some more of the heat that we are expecting the next couple weeks, which could increase power burns again and limit further injection size. In our Note of the Day and Afternoon Updates today we looked at how forecasts were likely to change over the next couple of days and how that could impact natural gas prices. 

Our Weekly Natural Gas Update looked closer at the current storage situation and how it is being priced in along the natural gas curve, updating our weekly sentiment and price expectations. To give ...

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