Natural Gas Withdrawal Season Winds Down

After tomorrow's EIA report, we look ahead to just two more expected withdrawals from storage before gas begins getting injected back into storage for next winter. In our Morning Update we outlined our recent storage expectations, with an extra week of withdrawals likely this year because of strong early April cold. 

natural gas commodity weather

Clearly, natural gas prices were not too excited about the expected withdrawal to be reported tomorrow, with prices trading in a tight range and the May contract settling slightly lower (though its settle was still a hair above the April expiry yesterday). 

(Click on image to enlarge)

natural gas commodity weather

The entire strip only saw mild losses on the day. 

natural gas commodity weather

Tomorrow's EIA print comes for week where GWDDs ticked down lower. 

natural gas commodity weather

It also is forecast to be decently larger than the 5-year average, further exacerbating the current storage deficit.

natural gas commodity weather

Already we have data from Dominion Transmission that withdrawals last week were far smaller than the week prior, with the resulting draw from the East region easily smaller week-over-week. 

natural gas commodity weather

 

Disclaimer: To begin receiving both our technical and fundamental analysis of the natural gas market on a daily basis, and view our various models breaking down weather by natural gas demand ...

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Alexis Renault 6 years ago Member's comment

Sorry for the newbie question but what is the significance of these withdrawals?