Market Indicators Today - June 18, 2015

Well, the stock market certainly likes the compliant Fed.  As noted over at NFTRH.com, the Biotechs have retaken the leadership mantle, or at least joined the Banks and Small Caps in a leadership role.  Here’s the Russell 2000 boinking new highs.

rut

Let’s look at some signs beneath the surface.

First off, the TIP-TLT inflation expectations gauge, looks okay. It would support an ‘inflation trade’.

tip.tlt

But Silver vs. Gold is having issues, and as long as it does a green light indicator is not on for a commodities-based ‘inflation trade’.

slv.gld

Palladium-Gold continues to dump out and thus, taking this one indicator in a vacuum with the assumption that it would prove as useful in the future as it has in the past, it gets one step closer to a bearish macro signal.

pall.gld

The implications?  Well, one would be party on Garth but remember to sell and take profits if a mania in stocks whips up in the coming months.

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