EU Session Bullet Report – USD Weak After FOMC

EU Session Bullet Report

Yesterday was a day wrapped around FED Minutes. For the USD, the markets perceived the FOMC minutes down as an indication of further delay in raising interest rates. The committee cited global economic developments are likely to put downward pressure on inflation in the near term. All in all, the minutes revealed that the decision to keep rates unchanged in September was not a “close call” as Yellen mentioned in a conference after the September event. The low interest environment boosted stock markets globally with all major indices closing in the greens.

In UK, although BoE decided to keep rates unchanged also, what boosted the GBP was the fact that the central bank is not worried that much over China and that they see inflation concerns are very short term due to the current price of oil. This indicates that a rate rise from UK could happen any moment we see an upswing in commodity and energy prices.
In the markets, Crude oil is trading over $50, and gold spiked to $1151, AUDUSD is at session highs at 0.7287 and USDCAD down to 1.2961. GBPUSD is trading close to 1.5400 and EURUSD at 1.1290 after touching 1.1325.

Trading quote of the day:

“We want to perceive ourselves as winners, but successful traders always focus on their losses”   - Peter Borish

EURUSD
Pivot: 1.123
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.123 with targets @ 1.132 & 1.135 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.123 look for further downside with 1.12 & 1.117 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.

1

GBPUSD

Pivot: 1.529
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.529 with targets @ 1.538 & 1.543 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.529 look for further downside with 1.525 & 1.521 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

2

AUDUSD

Pivot: 0.72
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.72 with targets @ 0.731 & 0.734 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.72 look for further downside with 0.716 & 0.712 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

3

USDJPY

Pivot: 120.1
Likely scenario: Short positions below 120.1 with targets @ 119.45 & 119.2 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 120.1 look for further upside with 120.35 & 120.6 as targets.
Comment: The RSI lacks upward momentum.

4

USDCAD

Pivot: 1.307
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.307 with targets @ 1.295 & 1.29 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.307 look for further upside with 1.312 & 1.317 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.

5

USDCHF

Pivot: 0.9715
Likely scenario: Short positions below 0.9715 with targets @ 0.964 & 0.96 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9715 look for further upside with 0.973 & 0.9765 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bearish.

6

GOLD

Pivot: 1154
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1154 with targets @ 1136 & 1130 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1154 look for further upside with 1165 & 1170 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1154 is resistance, likely decline to 1136.

7

OIL

Pivot: 48.35
Likely scenario: Long positions above 48.35 with targets @ 51.4 & 52 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 48.35 look for further downside with 47.7 & 46.9 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

8

DAX

Pivot: 10800
Likely scenario: Long positions above 10800 with targets @ 11900 & 12390 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 10800 look for further downside with 10450 & 10000 as targets.

Comment: The RSI calls for a rebound.

9

 

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