Yesterday the ECB kept rates unchanged however the EURUSD dropped after Mario Draghi downgraded growth as well as inflation expectations and hinted that the ECB is ready to add further QE in order to stimulate growth. EURUSD fell to 1.1080 from over 1.1240.

Overnight, JPY crosses were hit hard as a resumption of falling stock markets emerged again. USDJPY lost over 100 pips and is trading at 119.20. AUDUSD was also on the back foot and hit a new 6, 5 year low at 0.6959.

The torch is now passed to NFP at 12:30 GMT. Market participants will be watching closely to see if the job sector in the US is strong enough for the FED to justify a rate hike. A weak number (below 200,000) would quite possibly rule out a September rate hike. . The market is predicting a 218,000 increase in jobs in August, which is pretty close to the average over the past six months, as well as to the reading from July.

Trading Quote of the Day:

“anybody who says that money is the root of all evil, doesn’t have any”

EURUSD
Pivot: 1.1175
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.1175 with targets @ 1.1085 & 1.105 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.1175 look for further upside with 1.121 & 1.126 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bearish.

GBPUSD
Pivot: 1.529
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.529 with targets @ 1.5215 & 1.5165 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.529 look for further upside with 1.534 & 1.538 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is badly directed.

AUDUSD
Pivot: 0.702
Likely scenario: Short positions below 0.702 with targets @ 0.695 & 0.69 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.702 look for further upside with 0.7065 & 0.7095 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is badly directed.

USDJPY
Pivot: 120.2
Likely scenario: Short positions below 120.2 with targets @ 118.85 & 118.4 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 120.2 look for further upside with 120.65 & 121.05 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.

USDCAD
Pivot: 1.3245
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.3245 with targets @ 1.3175 & 1.313 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.3245 look for further upside with 1.329 & 1.3325 as targets.
Comment: As long as the resistance at 1.3245 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.3175 remains high.

USDCHF
Pivot: 0.9675
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.9675 with targets @ 0.9775 & 0.982 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.9675 look for further downside with 0.9635 & 0.9565 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

GOLD
Pivot: 1135
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1135 with targets @ 1117 & 1110 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1135 look for further upside with 1142.5 & 1148 as targets.
Comment: The RSI lacks upward momentum.

OIL
Pivot: 45
Likely scenario: Long positions above 45 with targets @ 48.7 & 49.4 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 45 look for further downside with 43.2 & 41.75 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

DAX
Pivot: 10440
Likely scenario: Short positions below 10440 with targets @ 9880 & 9645 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 10440 look for further upside with 10650 & 10735 as targets.
Comment: As long as 10440 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.