Commodities dropped on the back of yesterday’s weak Chinese GDP growth (slowest since the financial crisis) data. Industrial production signals a falling Chinese demand, which contributed to lower oil and gold prices. The US dollar has strengthened somewhat after Fed’s Williams said that he saw the time to start raising rates in the near future. Overall market action is muted though, as traders await for the long anticipated ECB rate decision and conference on Thursday. Canada, saw its currency drop a bit versus the USD following the liberal Party win in the national election while AUDUSD gained after the RBA minutes from the October 6 rate decision, confirmed the fact that the bank sees no urgent need to reduce rates further,

Apart from speeches from Fed’s Dudley, Powel and Fed Chair Yellen this afternoon, Switzerland will release trade balance and Germany will release PPI. In the US session, US will release housing starts and building permits while Canada will release wholesale sales.

Trading Quote of the Day:

“Have the patience to wait, the courage to get out and the integrity to follow your plan”

– John Carter

Green lines are resistance, Red lines are support

EUR/USD
Pivot: 1.1395
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.1395 with targets @ 1.1305 & 1.1265 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.1395 look for further upside with 1.145 & 1.1495 as targets.
Comment: A break below 1.1305 would trigger a drop towards 1.1265.

GBP/USD
Pivot: 1.541
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.541 with targets @ 1.551 & 1.5565 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.541 look for further downside with 1.537 & 1.5325 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

AUD/USD
Pivot: 0.7305
Likely scenario: Short positions below 0.7305 with targets @ 0.724 & 0.7225 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.7305 look for further upside with 0.7345 & 0.738 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

USD/JPY
Pivot: 119.15
Likely scenario: Long positions above 119.15 with targets @ 119.65 & 119.9 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 119.15 look for further downside with 118.9 & 118.6 as targets.
Comment: Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.

USD/CAD
Pivot: 1.2975
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.2975 with targets @ 1.308 & 1.3125 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.2975 look for further downside with 1.29 & 1.285 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.

USD/CHF
Pivot: 0.952
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.952 with targets @ 0.9585 & 0.9615 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.952 look for further downside with 0.95 & 0.9475 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

GOLD
Pivot: 1180
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1180 with targets @ 1163 & 1158 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1180 look for further upside with 1184.5 & 1190 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1180 is resistance, likely decline to 1163.

OIL
Pivot: 46.9
Likely scenario: Short positions below 46.9 with targets @ 45.23 & 44.6 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 46.9 look for further upside with 47.5 & 48.46 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bearish.

DAX
Pivot: 10065
Likely scenario: Long positions above 10065 with targets @ 10210 & 10300 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 10065 look for further downside with 9970 & 9885 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.