Saturday, September 22, 2018 9:03 AM EDT
In a week where US household wealth gapped up to $123 trillion, investors continued to pour money into exchange-traded funds that track US indices. The three main markets shrugged off trade war fears and pressed higher, with the exception of the Nasdaq. Still, demand for the tech-heavy index was similarly robust.
(Click on image to enlarge)
The chart above contains the aggregate flows for three of the largest ETFs that track US indices. Equity strength was largely drawn from the underwhelming impact of trade wars. While the Dow was somewhat driven by rising crude prices. Together, net flows saw roughly $11 billion in cash enter the funds.
Increased exposure comes at a time when the indexes approach record levels and confidence in the economy is equally high. Last week, small business confidence hit a 35-year high and then ISM manufacturing boasted the highest levels since 2004. Further, a leading indicator of consumer confidence also hit an 18-year high in August. Next week, join me for a live webinar covering the data release for September’s consumer confidence.
Next week will also mark the end of the third quarter as we look to enter the fourth with record confidence and equity valuations. With that in mind, the data above left out Friday’s fund flows. Index overseers conducted ‘Quad witching’ on Friday, rebalancing indexes and modifying some sector compositions. The rebalancing often results in unusual volatility and volume, potentially distorting conclusions drawn from the above. In next week’s report, the data will be included and accounted for.
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Disclosure: Do you want to see how retail traders are currently trading the US Dollar? Check out our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.DailyFX, the free news and research website of leading forex and CFD broker FXCM, delivers up-to-date analysis of the fundamental and technical influences driving the currency and commodity markets. With nine internationally-based analysts publishing over 30 articles and producing 5 video news updates daily, DailyFX offers in-depth coverage of price action, predictions of likely market moves, and exhaustive interpretations of salient economic and political developments. DailyFX is also home to one of the most powerful economic calendars available on the web, complete with advanced sorting capabilities, detailed descriptions of upcoming events on the economic docket, and projections of how economic report data will impact the markets. Combined with the free charts and live rate updates featured on DailyFX, the DailyFX economic calendar is an invaluable resource for traders who heavily rely on the news for their trading strategies. Additionally, DailyFX serves as a portal to one the most vibrant online discussion forums in the forex trading community. Avoiding market noise and the irrelevant personal commentary that plague many forex blogs and forums, the DailyFX Forum has established a reputation as being a place where real traders go to talk about serious trading.
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