5 Stocks To Watch This Week 12-1-14

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(Photo Credit: Zona Retiro

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Wednesday - Abercrombie & Fitch

Revenue has slid at Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) in 6 consecutive quarters and management is taking drastic action to get the brand back in gear. In August Abercrombie announced that it will be removing its logo from most clothing starting in Spring 2015.

The emblazoned Abercrombie and Fitch logo has been a key piece of the brand’s identity which it has used to fetch premium pricing. Cheaper generically branded street style clothes from competitors like Swedish retail chain H&M have been taking a bite out of Abercrombie’s marketshare and the company is taking aggressive action to reinvent its image.

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Wednesday analysts on Estimize are predicting that Abercrombie will report 50 cents in earnings per share, easily topping the Wall Street consensus of 41 cents. Despite the down trend in sales and a weak revenue figure last quarter the retailer has beaten or matched the Estimize consensus in the past  4 consecutive periods. The Estimize community is also looking for Abercrombie to beat the Wall Street sales figure by about $19 million, or 2.1%.

Wednesday - PVH

Fellow clothing company and the owner of the Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein brands, PVH (PVH), is also set for a Wednesday report. In September PVH stock jumped 10% higher on a strong bottom line beat driven by an exceptional quarter from Tommy Hilfiger. Revenue in the Tommy Hilfiger brand climbed 9% higher compared to the same quarter of 1 year prior.

Although PVH reported a bottom line beat and solid numbers out of Tommy Hilfiger, the company’s total sales came in slightly under estimates.

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This quarter the Estimize community is predicting earnings of $2.53 per share, which is 4 cents ahead of the Street’s view of $2.49. If the Estimize consensus is correct that would be a year over year (yoy) gain of 10%, slightly better than the surprising 9% yoy increase reported last quarter.

Although there is a modest discrepancy in earnings estimates, revenue projections are more similar. Contributors on Estimize are forecasting total sales of $2.282 billion which is $29 million or 1.3% higher than Wall Street.

Thursday - Ulta Salon

Beauty superstore chain Ulta Salon’s (ULTA) stock has climbed 35% higher since a violent drop in early December of last year. In late 2013 Ulta reported disappointing third quarter earnings and set a weak outlook, sending shares 25% lower. Investors may not have been impressed by last December’s earnings report, but the company still grew by 22% on the top and bottom line.

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(Graph above from ChartIQ Visual Earnings)

Recently Ulta Salon’s fundamentals have been on fire. Over the previous 4 quarters Ulta has averaged a 21% yoy increase to the bottom line and a 20% gain in sales. Last quarter the beauty shop defied expectations by delivering 94 cents in earnings per share compared to the Estimize consensus of 82 cents, recording 34% yoy growth. Ulta also reported revenue of $734.20 million, beating the Estimize community’s forecast by 4%.

Thursday analysts on Estimize are expecting another strong report from Ulta. The Estimize consensus is 87 cents per share which is 4 cents ahead of the Street’s estimate. On the revenue side Estimize contributors are forecasting $732 million which is about 3% above Wall Street’s projection of $711 million.

Thursday - Barnes and Noble

Barnes and Noble (BKS) has been losing heaps of cash over the previous 8 quarters. The bookseller reported a loss in 6 of those quarters and in total the company has lost $3.46 per share.

Like many local bookstores Barnes and Noble is struggling due to pricing pressure brought on by e-books and Amazon.com (AMZN). The period to be reported Thursday is typically Barnes and Noble’s second best quarter of the year, only out performed by the holiday period. Thursday Barnes and Noble is expected to increase its 2nd fiscal quarter profits by 2 cents per share and report a yoy revenue drop of 2.2%.

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Thursday - Dollar General

While Ulta and Barnes and Noble are on opposite ends of the spectrum, Dollar General (DG) has been in the middle going through a period of modest consistent growth. In each of the past 8 periods Dollar General has announced yoy gains to the top and bottom lines. This quarter the Estimize community expects the dollar store chain to report earnings of 80 cents per share and $4.754 billion in sales. That would represent an 11% hike in profits and an 8% bump to revenue.

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Disclosure: There can be no assurance that the information we considered is accurate or complete, nor can there be any assurance that our assumptions are correct.

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