Top Scoring Weekly Returns: Buy And Hold 1 Year
Top scoring weekly returns: Buy and Hold 1 Year
- The best sector is industrial goods
- IMPORTANT! Scores have shifted to reflect Q1 seasonality.
The best scoring sector heading into the first quarter remains industrial goods. Consumer goods, services, and financials also score above average. In consumer, focus on mid and small cap. In financials, buy large and small cap rather than mid cap.
Healthcare scores in line -- focus on large cap.
Technology, basics, and utilities score below average.
Small cap stocks produce the highest median return in the first quarter. The DJ30 has the weakest (neutral) seasonality for the period. The other major market ETFs boast solid seasonal tailwinds.
Industrial Goods
Industrials (XLI) have neutral seasonality for the first quarter, returning a median 4.87%.
The following table includes the top seasonal plays in industrials for Q1.
Among the top scoring industrials, residential construction (LEN, NVR) is improving and can be bought again. Aerospace (BA, CW) remains solid thanks to rising production rates. European recovery offers upside to results for machinery (TWIN, ITT) and equipment (BDC, LFUS). Watch for an acceleration in commercial construction activity this year (MTW, TEX).
Services
Consumer discretionary has neutral seasonality for the first quarter, producing a median 2.03% return.
The following table shows the strongest seasonal plays in services for Q1. Restaurants (DRI, BWLD, EAT, PNRA, PZZA) are heavily represented and should be your focus early in the quarter. Retailers (ROST, SHLD, BKE, JWN, ARO, etc) also offer solid seasonality through the Q4 EPS reporting season.
Top scoring services stocks are mixed across industry, with railroads (KSU, CSX, GBX), apparel stores (ANN, GCO) and restaurants (CBRL, RRGB, CAKE) well represented.
Consumer Goods
Consumer offers solid seasonality through the first quarter, generating a median 2.6% return in the period.
The following consumer stocks offer the best seasonality for Q1.
Textiles (PVH, COLM, WWW) are among the best scoring in consumer goods. Packaging (OI, TUP) is also strong scoring exiting the holidays.
Financials
Financials offer neutral seasonality in the first quarter, returning a median 3.17%.
The following are the best seasonal performers in financials for Q1. Money center banks (BMO, CS, RY) and REITs (BPO, JLL, CBG, HCN, etc.) are heavily represented. C&I loans total $1585.9 billion in November, just shy of the prior peak, and significantly above the $1470 billion a year ago.
Loan portfolio growth in 2014 supports regional banks (MBWM, JPM, WTFC, CFNL, FFIN) as they look to deploy more of their deposits. Easing standards and improving consumer balance sheets support consumer loan growth. Increasing economic activity will continue to support C&I loan demand.
Economic Data to Watch this Week:
December 30th | December 31st |
Pending Home Sales |
Case Shiller Chicago PMI 61 Consumer Conf. 76 |
Top Scoring Stocks:
LG CAP | 12/24/2013 | 4 Week MA | MID CAP | 12/24/2013 | 4 Week MA | ||
Symbol | Sector | SCORE | SCORE | Symbol | Sector | SCORE | SCORE |
BEST | BEST | ||||||
AMP | FINANCIALS | 110 | 108.75 | HAS | CONSUMER GOODS | 110 | 96.25 |
AZO | SERVICES | 110 | 107.5 | OCR | SERVICES | 110 | 108.75 |
CELG | HEALTHCARE | 110 | 96.25 | VRSN | TECHNOLOGY | 110 | 108.75 |
CHK | BASIC MATERIALS | 110 | 97.5 | CNO | FINANCIALS | 105 | 87.5 |
DIS | SERVICES | 110 | 107.5 | DDS | SERVICES | 105 | 102.5 |
GLW | TECHNOLOGY | 110 | 93.75 | IRF | TECHNOLOGY | 105 | 97.5 |
JPM | FINANCIALS | 110 | 90 | KSU | SERVICES | 105 | 96.25 |
MCHP | TECHNOLOGY | 110 | 101.25 | PVH | CONSUMER GOODS | 105 | 90 |
MYL | HEALTHCARE | 110 | 96.25 | TSCO | SERVICES | 105 | 92.5 |
SIAL | HEALTHCARE | 110 | 102.5 | ACT | HEALTHCARE | 100 | 82.5 |
AGN | HEALTHCARE | 105 | 87.5 | ALXN | HEALTHCARE | 100 | 98.75 |
APH | TECHNOLOGY | 105 | 103.75 | ARRS | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 95 |
BA | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 105 | 103.75 | CAKE | SERVICES | 100 | 97.5 |
BDX | HEALTHCARE | 105 | 96.25 | CHD | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 97.5 |
CLR | BASIC MATERIALS | 105 | 97.5 | CHH | SERVICES | 100 | 97.5 |
CSX | SERVICES | 105 | 103.75 | COLM | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 88.75 |
ITT | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 105 | 91.25 | CSL | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 96.25 |
MJN | CONSUMER GOODS | 105 | 90 | CW | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 98.75 |
OI | CONSUMER GOODS | 105 | 105 | DBD | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 72.5 |
TAP | CONSUMER GOODS | 105 | 96.25 | EV | FINANCIALS | 100 | 77.5 |
UPL | BASIC MATERIALS | 105 | 73.75 | HP | BASIC MATERIALS | 100 | 100 |
AAPL | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 98.75 | HRL | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 92.5 |
AON | FINANCIALS | 100 | 98.75 | HTLD | SERVICES | 100 | 102.5 |
ATVI | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 78.75 | ILMN | HEALTHCARE | 100 | 98.75 |
CF | BASIC MATERIALS | 100 | 98.75 | JKHY | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 81.25 |
DG | SERVICES | 100 | 91.25 | LEN | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 91.25 |
ESRX | SERVICES | 100 | 80 | MTD | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 103.75 |
H | SERVICES | 100 | 97.5 | MTW | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 91.25 |
LNC | FINANCIALS | 100 | 97.5 | NTES | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 76.25 |
LO | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 96.25 | NVR | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 80 |
MCO | FINANCIALS | 100 | 98.75 | OTEX | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 100 |
MON | BASIC MATERIALS | 100 | 97.5 | PII | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 93.75 |
NUE | BASIC MATERIALS | 100 | 97.5 | SF | FINANCIALS | 100 | 98.75 |
NWL | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 100 | TEX | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 100 |
RRC | BASIC MATERIALS | 100 | 78.75 | TIVO | SERVICES | 100 | 56.25 |
RY | FINANCIALS | 100 | 83.75 | TPX | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 87.5 |
STJ | HEALTHCARE | 100 | 87.5 | TTC | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 98.75 |
TMO | CONGLOMERATES | 100 | 86.25 | TUP | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 95 |
V | SERVICES | 100 | 87.5 | VPRT | SERVICES | 100 | 91.25 |
WM | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 90 | WWW | CONSUMER GOODS | 100 | 97.5 |
WY | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 87.5 | ||||
SMALL CAP | 12/26/2013 | 4 Week MA | ADRS | 12/23/2013 | 4 Week MA | ||
Symbol | Sector | SCORE | SCORE | Symbol | COUNTRY | SCORE | SCORE |
BEST | BEST | ||||||
MBWM | FINANCIALS | 110 | 78.75 | JST | China | 100 | 90.00 |
TWIN | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 110 | 96.25 | RY | Canada | 100 | 83.75 |
AGYS | SERVICES | 105 | 77.5 | ARMH | United Kingdom | 95 | 93.75 |
CENX | BASIC MATERIALS | 105 | 73.75 | IX | Japan | 95 | 90.00 |
HGR | HEALTHCARE | 105 | 76.25 | SIG | Bermuda | 95 | 92.50 |
WTFC | FINANCIALS | 105 | 87.5 | ASX | Taiwan | 90 | 81.25 |
ABCO | SERVICES | 100 | 86.25 | BUD | Belgium | 90 | 87.50 |
AFFX | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 82.5 | HMC | Japan | 90 | 80.00 |
ANN | SERVICES | 100 | 58.75 | INFY | India | 90 | 90.00 |
BCOR | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 92.5 | JOBS | China | 90 | 90.00 |
BDC | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 100 | MT | Luxembourg | 90 | 87.50 |
BLDR | SERVICES | 100 | 60 | NICE | Israel | 90 | 70.00 |
CBRL | SERVICES | 100 | 90 | NVO | Denmark | 90 | 82.50 |
CFNL | FINANCIALS | 100 | 77.5 | NVS | Switzerland | 90 | 73.75 |
CHE | HEALTHCARE | 100 | 80 | RIO | United Kingdom | 90 | 88.75 |
CWT | UTILITIES | 100 | 75 | SNN | United Kingdom | 90 | 91.25 |
DPZ | SERVICES | 100 | 93.75 | TOT | France | 90 | 78.75 |
FFIN | FINANCIALS | 100 | 97.5 | AKZOY | Netherlands | 85 | 83.75 |
GBX | SERVICES | 100 | 82.5 | APSA | Argentina | 85 | 83.75 |
GCO | SERVICES | 100 | 73.75 | ASR | México | 85 | 87.50 |
LFUS | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 85 | BASFY | Germany | 85 | 82.50 |
PLXT | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 76.25 | BAYRY | Germany | 85 | 83.75 |
PRCP | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 51.25 | CRH | Ireland | 85 | 82.50 |
RRGB | SERVICES | 100 | 85 | HMIN | China | 85 | 85.00 |
SNHY | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 100 | 86.25 | LFC | China | 85 | 87.50 |
TRAK | TECHNOLOGY | 100 | 86.25 | PUK | United Kingdom | 85 | 86.25 |
UHAL | SERVICES | 100 | 97.5 | RDS.A | United Kingdom | 85 | 63.75 |
WIRE | BASIC MATERIALS | 100 | 93.75 | SCMWY | Switzerland | 85 | 82.50 |
ZEUS | BASIC MATERIALS | 100 | 78.75 | SHPGY | United Kingdom | 85 | 83.75 |
ACIW | TECHNOLOGY | 95 | 92.5 | SID | Brazil | 85 | 80.00 |
ALGN | HEALTHCARE | 95 | 71.25 | TRIB | Ireland | 85 | 82.50 |
BONT | SERVICES | 95 | 86.25 | TSU | Brazil | 85 | 83.75 |
BOOM | BASIC MATERIALS | 95 | 82.5 | WIT | India | 85 | 83.75 |
CCC | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 95 | 96.25 | BP | United Kingdom | 80 | 77.50 |
CDI | SERVICES | 95 | 78.75 | BRGYY | United Kingdom | 80 | 77.50 |
COHR | TECHNOLOGY | 95 | 88.75 | BT | United Kingdom | 80 | 77.50 |
CRZO | BASIC MATERIALS | 95 | 92.5 | CRESY | Argentina | 80 | 82.50 |
DXYN | CONSUMER GOODS | 95 | 65 | GA | China | 80 | 77.50 |
FINL | SERVICES | 95 | 83.75 | IRS | Argentina | 80 | 80.00 |
HUBG | SERVICES | 95 | 75 | NTL | Argentina | 80 | 82.50 |
HZO | SERVICES | 95 | 96.25 | TTM | India | 80 | 77.50 |
IVAC | TECHNOLOGY | 95 | 81.25 | VIP | Russia | 80 | 78.75 |
MIDD | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | 95 | 98.75 | WPPGY | United Kingdom | 80 | 77.50 |
NWBI | FINANCIALS | 95 | 96.25 | YPF | Argentina | 80 | 78.75 |
RGR | CONSUMER GOODS | 95 | 76.25 | ||||
SABA | TECHNOLOGY | 95 | 81.25 | ||||
SILC | TECHNOLOGY | 95 | 92.5 | ||||
SSNC | TECHNOLOGY | 95 | 92.5 | ||||
STFC | FINANCIALS | 95 | 80 | ||||
UEIC | CONSUMER GOODS | 95 | 92.5 |
None.