Wholesale Inventory Build Continues As Retail Sales Flounder

Wholesale inventories rose 1.0% nearly matching the consensus 1.1% estimate.

The Census Bureau Monthly Wholesale Report for February shows inventories rose 1.0 percent nearly matching the Econoday consensus. It wasn't a difficult guess in light of the advance (preliminary) Census Bureau estimates.

  • Sales: February 2018 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $495.9 billion, up 1.0 percent from the revised January level and were up 6.8 percent from the February 2017 level. The December 2017 to January 2018 percent change was revised from the preliminary estimate of down 1.1 percent to down 1.5 percent.
  • Inventories: Total inventories of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations but not for price changes, were $625.6 billion at the end of February, up 1.0 percent from the revised January level. Total inventories were up 5.5 percent from the revised February 2017 level. The January 2018 to February 2018 percent change was revised from the advance estimate of up 1.1 percent to up 1.0 percent.
  • Inventories to Sales Ratio: The February inventories/sales ratio for merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sale offices, based on seasonally adjusted data, was 1.26. The February 2017 ratio was 1.28.

Monthly Inventory/Sales Ratio

Wholesale Sales, Inventories, Ratio

(Click on image to enlarge)

In light of retail sales falling three consecutive months, this inventory buildup appears questionable.

Autos? Why? Furniture? Why?

Disclaimer: The content on Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.