Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of September 25

September 25

Chicago Fed National Manufacturing Index - August

0.13

-0.01

0.11

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

13.0

16.8

12.0

September 26

S&P Case/Shiller Index - July

Twenty City M/M

0.7%

0.7

Twenty City M/M - SA

0.2

0.1

0.4

Twenty City Y/Y

5.8

5.7

5.9

Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA

New Home Sales - August

555K

571

583

Consumer Confidence - September

121.9

122.9

122.9

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

14

14

13

September 27

Durable Goods Sales - August

1.5%

-6.8

1.5

Pending Home Sale Index - Aug

108.8

109.1

109.3

September 28

Initial Unemployment Claims

265K

259

270

GDP - Q2

3.0%

3.0

3.1

GDP Implicit Price Deflator

1.0

1.0

1.0

International Trade in Goods - August

$65.1B

65.1

65.7

Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index

10

10

September 29

Personal Income - August

0.3%

0.4

0.3

Personal Spending

0.1

0.3

0.1

Chicago PMI - September

58.4

58.9

58.6

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (r)

95.3

95.3

95.3

Week of October 2

October 2

ISM (Mfg) - Sept

57.0

58.8

Construction Spending - August

-0.1%

-0.6

October 3

Auto Sales* - September

16.3K

16.1

Car Sales

6.1

6.0

Truck Sales

10.3

10.1

*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence

October 4

ADP Employment Report - September

100K

237

ISM Services - September

55.6

55.3

October 5

International Trade - August

-$44.0B

-43.7

Factory Orders - August

0.9%

-3.3

Durable Goods Orders

1.5

-6.8

Nondurable Goods Orders

0.3

0.4

October 6

Nonfarm Payrolls - September

110K

156

Private

100

165

Manufacturing

-10

36

Unemployment

4.4%

4.4

Average Workweek

34.4HR

34.4

Average Hourly Earnings

0.2%

0.1

*Core Private equals Private less Medical, Social Assistance, and Temp Services

Wholesale Inventories - August

0.3%

0.6

Consumer Credit - August

$18.0B

18.5