Daily USD climbed out of a downtrend channel, put MACD and RSI positive, created and held a support level and now has risen above the SMA 200.

The weekly is approaching a resistance area but MACD and especially RSI look constructive.  Under 98 USD is just putting pressure on a would-be inflation trade.  Above it, the whole thing would be called into question.

We have been anticipating a decline in CRB to around 180.  That area, combined with USD finding resistance would be key.  Meanwhile, this is the market and I am going to let it tell me what it is doing.  Right now, patience, increased cash and selective investment are the things.