GBP/USD In Volatility’s Grips, SPX And Oil Post 11 Month Highs

Video length: 00:18:38

Risk appetite continued its crawl higher this past session. While there was limited pomp to the move, both the S&P 500 and US oil prices closed at 11-month highs through Tuesday's close. Yet, the occasion drew neither momentum to fuel the technical achievement nor volume to anchor conviction. On the one hand, we have a delayed Fed reinforcing the outright accommodative press from central banks like the ECB, BOJ and PBoC. On the other, we have a slowdown in global growth (the World Bank contributed it own figures), exceptionally low levels of return, a propensity to abrupt rises in volatility and a troubling lack of confidence in monetary policy as a financial stabilizer. Chase risk at your own peril.

Meanwhile, the Pound received yet another jolt this week with an intraday surge that sent GBP/USD soaring over 150 pips in the span of a minute. A fat finger was initially blamed for the move, but markets of this liquidity rarely provide field for such developments. Extreme volatility sets an unstable foundation; and like Monday's gap down for many Sterling crosses, this is a reflection of uncertain times. This is perhaps one of the best examples of a scenario where it is better to approach with a 'tactical' view rather than try to divine safe passage through a mine field.

The RBA and RBI delivered monetary policy decisions this past session, but the Australian Dollar was more responsive to its own central bank's hold on rates. AUD/USD extended its break and rally above the 200-day moving average. AUD/CAD and AUD/NZD reinforced reversals needed to forestall serious breakdowns. Will the RBNZ be able to generate the same level of motivation from the Kiwi moving forward? EUR/NZD is of particular interest with its technical bearings. We look at risks to pursue and avoid in today's Trading Video.

Disclosure: None. 

How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.