Orange Juice Technical Market Analysis

To fine tune our technical analysis it is a good idea to explore some other markets, out of curiosity and diversity as well as to sharpen our senses. The concept of thinking outside or inside the box appeals here as well. It does not mean to trade another market or something, but to go out and play around like a kid is always a good idea in our opinion. With that said, let's check out the Orange Juice market.

It is very important to read and understand the bigger picture of a market. It is not fun to stick around with a piece of a puzzle. You can have much more fun with all pieces altogether to create the big picture. So here we go again with the monthly macro perspective as usual. We can see a price channel, the installed Fibonacci retracement tool and a lovely bracket area on this timeframe. The market rejected the 50% Fibonacci level that was confluent with the price channel's high. Currently the market is testing the lower area of this price channel that is actually confluent with the drawn bracket area high. A break should lead us to some lower prices again.

We keep it simple with the weekly bar chart. The market broke out of its actual balance area and moved into the previous micro bracket area with support at the balance area's bottom. The previous week was an inside bar, so we have a rotational balanced market here.

Looking at the daily bar chart, we can see the support at the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the current balanced behavior with a the recent test of the bracket low. With this information the market could see some higher prices to test the daily bracket area high, for example. Actually there is also a wedge to keep an eye on.

With installed EMAs on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the market is trading below all six EMAs. Looking at the daily EMAs, we can see today's break of the first two short-term trend EMAs, so a test of the 20EMA should be possible.

Weekly EMAs

 

Daily EMAs


We'll see how the market will react to the mentioned levels. Stay openminded as everything can happen.

Stay happy!

 

   

Disclosure: All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. ...

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