Date

Tickers discussed

Comments, key highlights

8/29/18

(BLD) (MOV) (NASDAQ:SCVL) (LCI) (VEEV)

Watching all three BLD, MOVE, SVCL.

Happy to report one of our chat recommendations I think from back in July VEEV has surpassed the $100 mark. That was a longer-term outlook play that we talked about when discussing TPL. If you can get into it under $100, its going higher.

BLD approaching stop (NOT there yet) We never like to lose one, but sadly the sector is under a lot of pressure. it is not the company itself, and as the value case builds, it becomes more attractive but the Market wants to price in added risk in the space. It is a shame..

Several traders ENTERED BLD at this level, seeing value. Based on the chart (and John is very good) we have lost the first level on BLD. Next line is $62.75 area, which takes it back to last winters lows

How play LCI??? Well, we have been following it. I know Chris has been, not sure if he played it. We kept it to a chat board recommendation as it is not really a BAD BEAT per se, but the high beta sets it up nicely for trading. If you have patience I believe in a few months this thing is back toward 7-8 easily, but the market is pinning it down hard. You could scalp a quarter swing here and there. Earnings were about as expected as you can get; the market wanted answers on distribution and didnt get much. If it were me, id be looking to come in at $5 or under. May not get there, but that would be my goal.

Why the service is geniuine---we will never mislead you here. There are going to be trades that just dont work out despite all of the charting and value work. Discipline is the key. As you said, you learn the hard way. It is not like holding a blue chip, those names usually will rebound when holding. When taking on names in the S&P or russel 2000 that dont get a lot of coverage, you can get crushed without a game plan. At the end of the day, its ok to fold a hand. Its part of the game. You cant lose what you dont put (or leave) in the middle! We simply move on to the next.

8/28/18

(LCI) (SJM) (BLD)

BLD looks to move lower, could get it cheaper than our intial range, stp is 64. Great value. Based on the fundamentals, it is attractive. John indicates the name is sitting on his support line which is $66.90 on his chart from the original column, then 62.75.

Watching LCI ad SJM, the latter great value and dividends

Tara wrote up a piece on MDR, but we scrapped it, as Chris will not recommend any steel right now. Provided the chart in text though.

LCI squeezed into earnings; a number of trade options discussed. “This chat board is for traders, by traders!”

“Everyone should use it. We have dozens and dozens of members but only a handful who utilize this great tool! Nice job on LCI. Its all over the map”

LCI..earnings about as in line as you can get!!! Market wanted commentary on distribution moves.

8/27/18

(MU) (BLD) (ALO) (CROX) (RIGL) (EIDX) ‘marijuana stocks’, (FL) (LEA) (Z) (MAXR)

Watcnhing RIGL, EIDX and pot stocks.

re: MU. Close to the Cheapest stock in the market. While I cant predict a runup, I am loving the buyback as well and feel the risk in the mid-term is mitigated by this. We would be buyers.

BLD is in the ideal entry point now, we would like to see a bounce within the next few weeks here, so long as bad news related to housing does not keep it down. Its a good company, with great growth.

ALO, under a buck cant comment but as always in them, quick in and out with penny stocks. SEAC looks interesting. CROX, well thats a gamble fighting momentum. LCI looks to move again. Finally, GDX, good trade, the miners are very attractive

This morning watching the marijuana stocks, as well as RIGL, and EIDX. Also AMWD looks like it will move

Watching FL too, Support at 45. Although I have traded the name several times, still hold a core position. Admittedly Foot Locker is not the same stock it was a few years ago as the business model evolves. Also, (as sadly) the stock price is not a straight uptrend anymore. There is currently a 9% short float which is moderately high in my opinion. Theres definitely lot of negativity even after the rally from the 2017 lows, but the quarter was strong on all accounts. It is tempting to recommend it here for the service, but we have already played it twice. Instead will recommend it as one to consider with your own due diligence. ---Chris

LEA dipped a touch more than we would have liked but nothing egregious, hope the trade works out! We try to find the right plays, to tilt the odds in your favor. We take calculated risk. The key is discipline. Not being afraid to fold a hand and move on to the next one. So many traders get burnt holding a losing name too long.

Thoughts on Z? Think Z can go to $50-$51. Not in love with this name. Sold off a little too much in recent weeks. Not sure Im on board with the whole instant offers approach. Technically there is some support 44-45 for the name.

WTW? And moving stops higher??- Good strategy!! We do not usually follow up on the initial trade and keep adjusting stops, but I will say plainly I LOVE this approach. My number one rule is ALWAYS take profits. By moving your stop higher in accordance with trading, you GUARANTEE to lock in profits. A good approach in our opinion is a 3-2.5% window. So for WTW at $75, you could move your stop to $72.75. And not to insult anyones intelligence on this board but for those reading to create your new stop using this approach, take the current price and multiply by ".03". This will give you a result. Then take this result and subtract it from the current price to give you a new stop. So WTW 75*.03=$2.25. $75.00-$2.25= $72.75.

COTY—Chris sold

More on LCI and Chinese stocks (the latter being traded by members)

Q7C on LCI---ts been so hammered, it can go either way. Frankly, my guess is as good as anyone on the Street. If the name was still in the $4 range, my bias would be bullish, in that the the bulls would look for ANY excuse to bid up the name on earnings. If LCI gets back above $5.50 (the previous support) they will have command going into earnings which makes me lean bearish. I dont think the actual earnings matter. The Street wants commentary on distribution. That is it. Depending on that, the Street will move the name. That is my feeling on that ticker. And sorry about BIDU. It did not hit our stop loss, so tara and I both held on. Came close, but glad we held through. Earnings reports are a roll of the dice. Look at FL. tara is writing a piece for the free side. It is a BAD BEAT by most accounts, crushed every single metric and still gets hammered. You just do not know. Very dangerous when trading. LCI could easily be $7 after earnings or $4.

MAXR---Re: MAXR you are going to be fighting spruce point on this. Think it is oversold but they are relentless shorts

8/24/18

See commentsà

Q7C staff development day.

Members talked about CROX, SEAC, BLD, ALO, GDX, LCI, MHLD, MU

8/23/18

(URBN) (LOW) (HD) (QD) (LX) (BABA) (LCI) (QSR) (NFLX)

WHY is URBN falling after great report? Its two things in our opinion. And your inquiry is spot on. There is no reason for it. We surmised in the column it was a fear over increased CAPEX on their physical presence, and not so much on their digital presence, or, it was simply good ole fashioned profit taking on a stock with a stretched valuation following a 180% gain from our call a year ago. So you are correct there was nothing in the report or guidance that really stood out. We are not calling for a BAD BEAT buy only because the valuation is so stretched. Recall it did trade higher at first only to see selling pressure all day. Just looks like people pocketing gains. In the column Tara concludes that under 40 would look like a place to consider entry

Watching URBN, Low, HD, QD, LX, BABA

Lot of trade talk on LCI and the high beta, Q7C sees it as a great buy at 4.60

Opinion on QSR? QSR under $55 would be ideal. At that point the yield and valuation make sense and there would be technical support. QSR is not one that we love; in fact we dont like that many restaurants in general.

Good time for NFLX?---- Netflix is not our style. Sky high valuation, growth is so-so. It is not for us. It keeps going higher so the safe answer is yes...until its dumped for being so overvalued. In terms of what the chart says 335 looks compelling. But as a matter of practice we are cautious on names like this, because one day the rug will get pulled out. Might be next month, might be next year. You just dont know. As long as youre diligent with it, a few more points down would be a good place to consider it. As you can see the short-term momentum has been negative. $335 does look to be near-term support followed by 319. But these momentum stocks are tough. Our suggestion would be NOT to play it all at once, but maybe have three levels to come in. 335, 319, 300. Would be targeting an exit of 358-362

What about BABA?-- Do not see it as a quick money trade but love it under 173 in general for a medium term play.

8/22/18

(T) (WTW) (LEA) (LOW)

Q7C—T downgrade “garbage”

Do you still stand by the exit point for WTW? It's been moving up very nicely this week, and curious if you think that will continue, or if a short term dip is likely? Q7C-- Feel strongly about the exit point for the trade. This is not to say it cannot go higher, but we are not greedy either. We always err on the side of being more conservative, given that trading and what we do is above average risk anyway. 75 seemed to be a bit of resistance last few days a close above this would be strong. As chris always says...never be afraid to take profits. Ever. ~Tara

LEA approach low end of entry range--Yes almost there. Fallen a bit faster then we thought would, will see if support holds here. Took a nice 2 point dive in last hour. Keep in mind our ranges are guides, definitely ok to deviate from. And if it blows through our range, well, this is why we cannot be afraid to fold a hand and move on. that said, lear really is in value territory already. We pounced given the chart, and outlook.

Tara--I did enter LOW premarket on news they were offloading their Orchard Supply Business. Now they can focus on the core product and better compete with HD. Nice pop in it.

8/21/18

(BLD) (MTZ) TJX) (JILL) (AMTD) (EXK) (TX) (SAND) (WPM) (COTY)

Q7C watching BLD, MTZ, TJX, JILL, and AMTD

EXK-VERY VERY closely watching the sector and plays such as EXK, HL, SAND, WPM are all looking attractive, but we have been waiting for a bit of a signal from precious metals. We were not ready to dive in again just yet, but soon. Provided article link to public piece. We wrote a public article on it, but here we really cover names where we think youre going to profit sooner than later. With the metals and miners, September is historically a strong month for gold and silver, so it was likely that we were going to have coverage of some of these names again as BAD BEAT potentials early next month.

TX-if you notice, the entire sector fell over again with the Turkey woes and ongoing tariff battles. However, while we got stopped out and had to fold the hand on TX on the first trade, the value case is immensely building in TX. We really like the name. It is a QUALITY company at a very fair price. Timing the entry however has proven to be problematic. That one I misread (though who could see steel AGAIN being the battleground the next day...the next day lol after the trade identification!)

Hi guys tara here. COTY was Chris' column. I took a very small stab in and out from 11.25 to 11.57. Not in love with the name given the fundamentals but it worked out for a quick 3%. Not saying you should sell or disagreeing with Chris but it looked overdone. Not comfortable holding it more than today myself with no chart support. Chris holding it until over $12.

8/20/18

(LCI) (FB) (TEVA) (WTW) (BLD) (MCHP)

LCI a disaster, possible trades to be made under 5, 5.5. Lost distribution.

TEVA—anyome playing, looks good and has been rising.

WTW trade is moving much higher, our members making out bigly.

FB—looks compelling approaching 160

General comments-We highly recommend that you have a well diversified core portfolio over the long-term. While we dont talk much about that in this specific service, we do not want anyone going all in on just trading alone! Far too risky. But...we will do our best to tilt the odds in your favor!

BLD is a combo technical and value play. Seems to have support 69. Volume can be informative as momentum is concerned. We believe this is retail selling, though that is speculation.

MCHP-It is in a tough space, semiconductors. While it deals microcontrollers, which we think insulates it somewhat from pressing issues in that space, it get sdragged down. Demand is solid. For decades microcontroller demand has grown faster than the overall global economy. The recent acquisition was a bit questionable, but the EPS growth is pretty solid. Cash flow seems to cover the dividend and debt is management relative to flows and current cash balances. The next quarter will include a full quarter of Microsemi acquisiton in revenues and expenses so we will get a sense of how that is playing out. From a trader's perspective we are in day three of a selloff, which means tomorrow we would expect to provide relief bounce. The name is still expensive, unlike a Micron, but is trading in similar fashion. From a technical perspective we see 80-81 as key support. If it breaches, and closes below this level 2-3X, $62 is next key line. All in all, we think a trade with a tight stop could be considered under 81.

8/17/18

(MTZ) (WTW) (AMRS) (DF) (IZEA) (BIDU) (GOOG) (BA) (OXY) (USO)

Q7C--we are watching MTZ, WTW, AMRS, DF, IZEA

MTZ looking great setup we recommended in at 41 already at 43.

Don’t own goog and bidu same time. At least BIDU moving everyone should be back to even or up. Do not sell BA to buy GOOG, BA is a darling.

BIDU is looking good.

WTW we would like to see some more beta on going up but we still see value in this call.

8/16/18

(JCP (IIN) (GSKY) (BIDU) (DY) (T) (BA) (AAPL) (V) (JPM)

Q7C--We are watching JCP, IIN today as well as GSKY ( a chat recommendation), and GNL today

Glad not stopped out of BIDU.

DY still a buy?-- There may be some upside left but its already up 12% from our call. The easy money has been made. It could be a grind back to our target of 80. One thing we will say is that our plays are suggested zones, and we still encourage you to do your own diligence, and use your own targets. One such item is on the stop loss. We tend to be more conservative, cutting losses earlier (folding the hand) and moving on. Our other seasoned traders who are members here sometimes are more risk averse. In the case of DY, while there is upside left in the call we made, its not as attractive as when we made the BAD BEAT call a few days ago. We are still mildly bullish at 75, but less so

Is the action a relief bounce in markets or a sign of volatility? Unclear at this time, we err on volatile not bearish until the elections.

• Stocks like T, BA, AAPL, V, JPM, all names that we have traded, but also names that are just great to buy and hang onto, reinvest the dividends and grow a position. We of course do not talk about that type of style investing here in this service as this specific service is built off of the playbook that Chris pioneered out of high school and has refined over the last decade plus. BAD BEAT we do trading for the fast money; but, make no mistake, the greatest way to build long-term wealth is regular, long-term investment into a diversified portfolio whilst reinvesting the divvys

• WTW, we like. A bit of a better bounce would have been nice, but we are not worried. We actually thought it would be flat to down today and hoped it would be down to 70-70.25 area to play it. In case it goes sour, thats why we build in a tight stop. You would be so surprised how long it takes traders to realize its ok to take losses. Discipline. Even if you lose 3-4-5 in a row (which stinks), takes 1-2 to be ahead. Its a game of strategy, value, research, technicals, a little bit of luck sometimes, and discipline. Which is why we have the poker related undertones, which is a hit among the investing community. So many casually play. But its true, the approach needed to be a WINNER in the medium and long term is so similar
• Changing gears, I am so tempted to consider JCP as a roll of the dice at $1.77 here, its been such a disaster. We cant recommend it but seeing it so punished, well it deserves to be lower. But its getting nailed

8/15/18

(FAMI) (PETZ) (SWCH) (OTCPK:ENCC) (OTCQB:LQMT)

Some trades discussed in volatile FAMI, PETZ, SWCH. Important view on penny stocks: “We won't go there on this service unless something has dipped under $1.00 that was listed. However, big gains can be made but you have to be in and out of that kind of junk. Most longer term trajectory of penny stocks is to fractions of a penny. Lesson learned from personal experience ENCC. Looked like they were going to be the big players for breathalyzer tests for marijuana detection. Played them at $0.10 and rode it and still hold at $.002 now- consider that tuition early in my investing and trading career.

8/14/18

(GPS) (DLTR) (AZO) (VIPS) (E) (TX) (YY) (SWCH)

Eni appears to be quite undervalued relative to its forward growth potential. Eni is expected to grow its earnings by around 19.75% annually over the next 3-5 years. That gives the stock a PEG ratio of 0.63 at its current price of $36.70. With a 2.5% yield, its not a terrible play but you have international risk to worry about as well as headwinds on oil and nat gas prices. Frankly we think nat gas should be around 3-3.20, and oil at 70 a barrel if prices were where supply and demand suggest they shold be. At those levels energy plays are buys

Stopped out of TX, more trade war and tariff headlines hit steel.

While BIDU still meandering. China everything still pressured (huya, yy, vips)

8/13/18

(BIDU) (WB) (BABA)

Anyone still in BIDU? Yes, Q7C is riding it to the stop loss of <205. Everything china hit hard, but oversold

8/10/18

(BABA) (TX) (RUN) (MDLY) (HAIR) (GEM) (TTD) (MCHP) (TKC)

ll watching the Turkey fall out, hitting everything there, including the one play we discussed back in July, TKC that we traded. Lot of uncertainty right now so we are monitoring. BABA we like long-term, on these sizable pullbacks, $170 would be our target entry

Quad 7 Capital watching watching RUN, MDLY, HAIR, GEM, TTD, MCHP

BIDU double down? Have not seen a credible bearish report at these levels. The name has all of the positive that we discussed in the first successful trade from August 1st. Unless an institution is unwinding, which I have not heard, looks like retail selling. Further, the chart, the name is in a support zone now. We do not want you to overexpose yourself, because anything can happen, but this seems like a market gift. With the high beta of the name, it should move in a few sessions, The only concern is a break lower toward our prior SL level of around 203-204ish. That is the wildcard on a technicla front. It needs to hold this 200 teens. If you are patient (i.e. willing to hold more than a few weeks), this seems to be attractive. Im in the name, Tara is in the name. Neither of us adding here, but holding tight. For you I suppose it depends HOW overweight you would be. I mean if its half your cash that would be foolish. If 5-10% makes it easier.

WTTR---down 6% on earnings

Solo? Which ticker? Members are trading it, Quad 7 Capital no real recommendation here

8/9/18

(LITE) (OUT) (WBT) (JNCE) (CPA) (BIDU) (TKC) (BLDR) (WTTR) (FAMI) (OXY) (TSLA)

Quad 7 capital watching OUT, WBT, LITE, JNCE, CPA,

Chris enters BIDU

TKC while a great trade giving us 10% last week risky now with Turkey woes, but watching

BLDR: Well, we know its a supplier primarily to the residential home builder industry. It had another quarter of solid revenue and profit growth. It increased sales by 13.% to $2.1 billion which is good. This business is cyclical and seasonal, and we have covered other home related plays like MHK. While home buying is strong, competition is rampant. The tax cuts have helped fundamentally but rising rates could soon put a damper on things as have inflation. From the annual report we see leverage is high but declining. Interest bearing debt on December 31, 2017, totaled $1.78 billion, down from $1.80 one year earlier. The debt to EBITDA ratio declined from 4.8 in 2016 to 4.2 in 2017. From a valuation perspective the stock is about failrly valued, possibly slightly undervalued but is definitely not a big bargain. Technically the chart suggests support at $16.75-$17.00 area, though on a shorter term week to week basis the stock is in a downtrend still. Would be careful here. Its not an awful place to be, but would look for a few percent gain and move on.

LITE: Take your profits here $59.40ish

BIDU: give it time

What is there is a CORRECTION? Of course, we have been hearing similar 10% correction predictions for every even numbered election year since 2012...hasnt happened yet. As far as the philosophy, if the market is tanking every single day, that applies pressure. We have not recommended more than one or two short type plays this year, but we would likely have a few more of those. We will also cycle into more dividend names and precious metal plays. Again, all depends on what is happening and what ticker or sector. Ultimately the longer-term game plan remains the same, and the philosophy still is employed. May see more value recommendations, or different sectors etc, but for the most part it works. We would say that of course if market sheds 2-3% a week for a full quarter, most services well beyond BAD BEAT will face immense challenges. Especially the long-onlys.

Discussion of how to enter a stop loss.stop limit etc

More on the mushroom play FAMI

Direct retirement advice: we cannot give, but, would say definitely work with a planner in your area. From an investing perspective as we shift to retirement, you want to be having income names. So for example, lets say you have 500,000 saved. You might want 5 stocks all yielding 4% or higher a year. A good portfolio might be OXY, T, PM, F, O. Between these 5 and their yields you would have about $25,000 a year in income, give or take.

TSLA good short target now looking like potential upside play

8/8/18

(BIDU) (TVPT) (FAMI) (CAR) (BECN) (XEC)

Tara purchase BIDU, members discuss FAMI the mushroom play; TVPT regret missing out, potential trades BECN XEX CAR

8/7/18

(SHAK) (TSN) (ETSY) (TIS) (Z) (UUU) (BIDU) (PZZA) (GSKY)

Quad 7 capital watching We are watching SHAK, TSN, ETSY, TIS, Z, UUU.

BIDU tanking. Q7C stated it was back into our target entry, given the high beta on this name we definitely think it can be traded again. Fell cause google looking to get back into China again. Might pick up some calls; the delta is pretty high on them but if we go 4-6 months out and hold for a week or two at most, good way to leverage upside. Deep in the money Jan 19 calls, or around the money calls suggested, with caution that options market is high risk

PZZA down 40% in a year. Lot of bad press of late with John and his departure and the loss of NFL etc. Do not see a rapid return here, but if you have the patience for an investment, sub $40 would be attractive to initiate a longer-term position

GSKY looks compelling, not enough history since IPO to look technically, but fundamentals look promising

8/6/18

(TVPT) (LB) (MU) (TSN) (PPC) (SAFM) (FB)

TVPT---Asked if let it run or take profit. Quad 7 Capital opined either is appropriate but definitely take profit above 19 (do not let it fall below)

LB---Asked about ticker. Quad 7 Capital been watching since 45. Problem is the weakness in the flagships Not so sure its going to turn around in a quarter or two. Market is discounting it. A single digit would be would be preferred. Digital strategy needs work too. Looks like value trap, though trades could be made between 31-34, yield enticing but cash flow show payout ratio above 100 not good

MU---Still love it. MU is among cheapest stock on market. Patience will be required.

TSN, PPC, SAFM---users mentioned TSN beaten down but having good day post earnings. SAFM double bottom suggested by user. Q7C states: TSN, PPC, SAFM all have similar patterns. TSN has slightly more risk, but is the cheapest and highest yielding. Probably cant go wrong in any of them. We just know TSN better than the others

FB---Q7C asked if anyone playing. User entered it upon our first recommendation in chat. Q7C asked about user time frame. Short-term, as in less than a month? If that is the case would be looking for 185; 185 should be short-term resistance as it was former support. After that ~193 level could see some battles. If willing to hold longer 205.