James Picerno Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator

James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ... more

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US Q2 Growth Set To Accelerate As Trade-War Risk Lurks
The current median projection calls for real GDP growth in Q2 to rise 3.1% (seasonally adjusted annual rate) – a solid improvement over Q1’s modest 2.0% increase.
Major Asset Classes - Correlation Profile
Return correlations for the major asset classes have been ticking higher in 2018, based on the median of pairwise relationships for rolling one-year periods via a set of exchange-traded products.
US Small Caps Lead US Equity Factor Performance Year To Date
Small-cap stocks have delivered the strongest returns so far in 2018 for key US equity factors, based on a set of proxy ETFs.
US Inflation’s Slow, Steady Rebound Looks Set To Continue
Thursday’s report on consumer inflation for June is expected to show that the recent firming trend will roll on.
Widespread Buying Lifted Nearly All Asset Classes Last Week
Positive returns dominated the first week of trading in July for the major asset classes, based on a set of US-listed exchange-traded products.
US Private Payrolls Rise Above 200,000 For Second Month
Last month’s increase translates to a 1.9% year-over-year rise, unchanged from the annual gain in May.
One More Fed Rate Hike Threatens To Invert Treasury Yield Curve
The yield spread for 10-year less 2-year Treasuries dipped to 29 basis points on Thursday (July 5), the lowest since August 2007.
Consumer Discretionary Sector Widens Lead Over Tech In 2018
Consumer discretionary stocks continue to lead US equity sectors for year-to-date performances, based on a set of exchange-traded funds through July 3.
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - Tuesday, July 3
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked down in June to an annualized 4.8%, a fractional decline from the previous month’s outlook.
Major Asset Classes - Performance Review - Monday, July 2
Real estate investment trusts (REITs) in the US posted the strongest gain in June among the major asset classes. The gain marked a second straight month with securitized real estate topping the performance list.
Book Bits - June 30, 2018
This weeks covers "Squeezed" by Alissa Quart, "For-Profit Democracy" by Loka Ashwood, "The Coming Revolution" by Ben Reynolds, and "Untangling the USA" by Etienne Deffarges. ,
Mideast Stocks Dominate World Regional Equity Returns This Year
Despite ongoing wars and heightened geopolitical tensions in the region, stock markets in the Middle East overall are outperforming the rest of the world so far in 2018, based on a set of exchange-traded funds.
US Business Cycle Risk Report - Friday, June 22
The risk of trade war with China may be lurking, but for now the US macro trend remains healthy.
How Long Can Stocks Beat Bonds By A Wide Margin?
Although stocks have had a rough ride so far in 2018, recent wobbles haven’t dented the decisive performance edge over bonds, at least not yet.
US Equity Bull Run Is Second Longest For Economic Expansions
The US stock market (S&P 500) continues to trade below its record high, which was set in January, but the bull market is arguably still running.
Will A Trade War Derail The Rebound In US Economic Growth?
Estimates for US economic growth in the second quarter continue to project a strong rebound following Q1’s subdued gain.
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