James Picerno Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator

James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ... more

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Tech Momentum Shines In Turbulent First Quarter
It’s been a turbulent year for US stocks so far, but technology shares are an exception as this corner of the market roars higher in 2018.
Retail Sales Have Been Weak Lately, But The Trend Is Still Positive
Consumer spending has been soft in recent months, prompting some analysts to forecast trouble for the economy later this year.
Profiling Correlations For The Major Asset Classes
The case for holding a portfolio that’s diversified across markets and asset classes is built on the assumption that return correlations will remain below 1.0 (perfect positive correlation) by more than a trivial degree.
Biggest US Budget Deficit Since 2012 Stokes Inflation Outlook
The US federal government on Monday reported its biggest budget deficit in February in six years.
US Stocks And REITs Top Last Week’s Winner’s List
Equities and real estate investment trusts (REITs) led most markets higher last week.
US Private-Sector Employment Surges In February
Private-sector payrolls increased 1.8% in the year through last month, marking the strongest annual pace in six months. Using the last several months as a guide, it appears that a new uptrend in annual growth may be underway.
5 Questions For James Rosseau On Legal Shield’s Economic Indexes
Interest in alternative data sets has exploded in recent years as investors scour the world for relatively obscure numbers that may offer insights overlooked in standard economic releases.
Treasury Market’s Inflation Forecast At Highest Level In Five Years
The implied inflation outlook via 5-year Treasuries ticked up to the 2.10% mark this week for the first time since 2013.
Profiling Asset Allocation Strategies With Style Analysis
Tracking the implied weights through time for dozens or hundreds of asset allocation ETFs and mutual funds offers an intriguing window into how the crowd’s preferences wax and wane for various asset classes.
Momentum Factor Still Leads After Surge In Market Volatility
The US stock market this year has taken investors on a white-knuckled ride, but the momentum factor’s performance leadership has remained a constant in the US equity factor space, based on a set of proxy ETFs.
Most Asset Classes Fell Last Week
Last week’s trading ended in the red for all but one of the major asset classes,based on a set of exchange-traded products.
Was There A Stock Market Bubble? Did It Burst?
It took longer than usual, but the priced-for-perfection bull run has taken a body blow in recent weeks. That’s good news for investors with relatively long time horizons since lower prices equate with higher expected returns.
Major Asset Classes - February 2018 - Performance Review
The winning streak hit a wall in February. For more than a year, global markets have been trending higher, in some cases with an unbroken run of monthly gains.
US Business Cycle Risk Report - Wednesday, February 28
Jerome Powell, the newly installed chairman of the Federal Reserve, advised in his public debut as head of the central bank that “there’s always a risk of a recession at any point in time, but I don’t see it as at all high at the moment.”
Modest Pickup In Growth Expected For US GDP In Q1
The median projection for Q1 is a slightly firmer 2.9%, based on data available as of Feb. 27.
Commodities Lead In Mixed Week For Major Asset Classes
Broadly defined commodities posted the strongest performance last week among the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange-traded products.
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