NFTRH & Biiwii's Unique Market Perspectives

Gary Tanashian of nftrh.com and biiwii.com successfully owned and operated a progressive medical component manufacturing company for 21 years, keeping the company’s fundamentals in alignment with global economic ... more

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Macro Update: 1 Week Later, Risk Remains ‘On’ As 2 Of 3 Amigos Ride On
Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk ‘on’ backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators, like junk bond ratios and the Palladium/Gold ratio say the same thing.
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US Stock Market, Precious Metals And The Macro Backdrop
The real story of this chart, showing the rest of the sorry post-bubble history from the 2011 chart, is an extended bear market, sharp upturn in 2016 and what seems like a forever consolidation of that upturn. I can assure you it will not be forever.
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Amigo #2 (10yr Yield) Nears Target, ‘Inflation Trade’ Failing, Gold Sector Shaking Off Inflation Bugs
The Dow just shaved off 665 points and Treasury bonds are becoming more attractive vs. the S&P 500’s dividend yield… right at a time when EVERYBODY hates bonds.
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Economy And Inflation: Playing It Straight
Manufacturing activity was fine in January as New Orders eased a bit and PMI barely budged. However, the ‘inflation effects’ component, prices, lurched higher.
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A Few Words On The Gold Sector
The miners can go a long way as inflationist bugs tout gold, silver, oil, copper and resources of all kinds. But the other stuff is cyclical and the best case for gold mining is counter-cyclical.
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The Macro View: Amigos Ride On
The macro backdrop is riding on to its destiny. That forward destiny is a top in stocks vs. gold (Amigo 1), a rise in long-term interest rates to potential if not probable limits (Amigo 2), and an end to the yield curve’s flattening trend (Amigo 3).
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Comments

Latest Comments
A Few Words On The Gold Sector
22 days ago

Yes, it is. Actually, that type of article is probably obsolete to a degree. I think after getting burned so badly by perma bulls in 2012-2016 a lot of people came to realize the depths of the promotional aspect.

In this article: HUI
Another Chart Shows A Recession Is Coming
3 months ago

Absolutely a zombie economy. Created on a lab table. But I have learned to play the indicators straight and things won't turn until the 10-2 curve turns and interest rates top out at 3.3% (30yr) and 2.9% (10yr).

In this article: TNX
Another Chart Shows A Recession Is Coming
3 months ago

A declining yield curve moves with a boom. Period. When it bottoms, the boom ends. Period. Investors are not worried about paying high rates. They are too busy speculating in asset markets, taking money out of the short end and not yet concerned about either inflation or economic weakening.

In this article: TNX
"Prepare For Excitement!" One Trader Thinks Higher Oil Prices Will Save Us All
9 months ago

#Oil bouncing on price manip jawboning is a suspect FUNNY mental for the stock market. That said, I'm leaning bullish the casino atmosphere.

In this article: OIL
Silver Bullion On Sale After 10.6% Fall In Two Weeks
9 months ago

The news that was bearish for silver was a massive buildup in large speculator net longs and commercial trader net shorts, with the cherry on top being a recent bullish lurch by small specs, AKA the little guy.

The Stock Whisper Of The Day: SPY, AMD And BP
9 months ago

Ah, good points. Was just curious. FWIW, I agree. Also, it's a fad IMO. Some are good though; Chris Ciovacco comes to mind. Right to business with no b/s.

In this video: SPY, AMD, BP
The Stock Whisper Of The Day: SPY, AMD And BP
9 months ago

What do you hate about them? I think they can be useful... in the right hands.

In this video: SPY, AMD, BP
The A-Team
9 months ago

Although the chart's log scale is at work here as well, TK.

In this article: AAPL
Europe Will Climb That Same Wall Of Worry
9 months ago

Sir, your reputation precedes you. Good to see your article here! IMO the financial media need more macro and less day trading stuff.

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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AAPL Apple Inc.
AMAT Applied Materials Inc.
BSX Boston Scientific Corporation
DXJ WisdomTree Japan Total Dividend Fund
FARO FARO Technologies, Inc.
GDX Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF
GDXJ MARKET VECTORS ETF TRJR GOLD MINES
GILD Gilead Sciences Inc.
GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
INDY iShares S&P India Nifty 50 Index Fund
INTC Intel Corporation
SLV iShares Silver Trust
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
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Gary Tanashian Commented on A Few Words On The Gold Sector:

Yes, it is. Actually, that type of article is probably obsolete to a degree. I think after getting burned so badly by perma bulls in 2012-2016 a lot of people came to realize the depths of the promotional...

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PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts
Trump As Spectacle
I am actually concerned that we have put an unqualified spectacle in the White House; a product of American TV and leveraged ‘capitalism’. A media star.
A Treasury Trove Of Nuggets From The MSM
It is summer slack season, with no FOMC meeting in August and so into the void go our friends in the mainstream media, with all sorts of noise to distract investors.

Work Experience

Owner, writer, publisher
NFTRH.com
September 2014 - Present (3 years 6 months)

A discrete entity from Biiwii.com, NFTRH.com is used for protected subscriber content and some public content that is more technical, as opposed to Biiwii.com's commentary style.

Analyst, writer, publisher
NFTRH Premium Market Service
September 2008 - Present (9 years 7 months)

NFTRH successfully guided subscribers through challenging times, preserving capital in 2008 (NFTRH launched Q4 2008).  Then, we appropriately got bullish, first in precious metals and later in broader markets.  NFTRH manages all market cycles and is a best of breed market service, prepared for any market environment.

Owner, writer, publisher
Biiwii.com
June 2004 - Present (13 years 11 months)

Website launched in 2004 to inform the public of pressures building in the financial system.  These eventually came to the surface in 2007-2009.  Today Biiwii is more general market commentary related.

CEO, owner
Pan-Tec, Inc.
September 1983 - June 2012 (29 years 3 months)

Guided a progressive medical equipment manufacturing company through all economic environments.  This was vital experience in developing a unique global macro view.

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Publications