I Know First Research Blog | I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: May 6, 2017 | TalkMarkets
Daily Market Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
I Know First is a financial services firm that utilizes an advanced self-learning algorithm to analyze, model and predict the stock market. Co-Founder Dr. Lipa Roitman, a scientist, with over 20 ...more

I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: May 6, 2017

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2017 1:47 PM EDT

I Know First Review

On May 6, 2017, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all the I Know First subscribers, highlighting the past week’s performance in all the covered financial markets, i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the weekly newsletter includes analysis and updated news reports regarding prominent firms such as Apple, Yahoo, Baidu, and more which our subscribers are able to utilize for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times also top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm creates, deletes, and modifies relationships between different financial assets to optimize its predictive accuracy. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously readjusting the relationships, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here.

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, on May 5, 2017, we published a 1-year long forecast of our Small Cap Stocks Package with a bullish signal for KEMET CorporationWithin 1 year 9 of the 10 predictions revealed themselves to be correct and KEM registered a return of 371.32%.

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this past week’s newsletter.

1. Yearly Prediction Results in Over 370% Return 
Stock picks based on I Know First deep learning algorithm surpassed the S&P 500 return exponentially.  In each forecasts, at least one stock pick yielded over 300%.  In the Stocks Under 10 Dollars forecast, KEM impressively yielded 371.32%, followed by GOL returning investors 271.96%.  These 2 stocks contributed to I Know First's market premium of over 110%. During Brazil's volatile time, the AI picked achieved a 90% stock pick accuracy in the By Country- Brazilian Stocks forecast.  The top performing stock was GOL as well, returning investors 371.57%. The forecast's overall return was 62.90% compared to the S&P 500's 14.7% return in its 1 year time frame. Along with the Brazilian forecast, Transportation Stocks also selected GOL with the same yield. The second top stock pick was CSX nearly doubling in value. Investors earned a return on 93.92%. Had investors invested in all 10 stocks in the Small Cap Stocks forecast since May 5, 2016, investors would have doubled their investment. The overall portfolio yielded 100.56%. KEM was also the forecast's top performing stock pick of 371.32% yield.

Package Name: Stocks Under 10 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Year (05/05/2016 – 05/05/2017)
I Know First Average: 128.83%

I Know First Review

2. Algorithmic Stock Pick Yield Investors Nearly 40% in 3 Days
In the Medical sector, stocks are prone to be volatile. The algorithm accurately selected stock, PTX in the Fundamental- low short ratio stocks forecast. In just 3 days, the stock increased by nearly 40%.  If you are looking overseas to diversify portfolio, By Region-European Stocks forecast achieved a 100% accuracy in stock picks. The two top picks were: KN.PA and BNP.PA, yielding 7.85% and 7.48%, respectively. In the Medicine Stocks forecast, PTK was also the top performing stock, returning investors handsomely with a 32.26% yield in 3 days. In the Top 10 Stocks forecast, two stocks achieved double digit growth, EXAS with a 12.76% yield and ZG returning investors 11.14%.

Package Name: Fundamental – Low Short Ratio Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Days (05/01/2017 – 05/04/2017)
I Know First Average: 7.82%

3. Double Digit Growth in 1 Week
Both the Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast and the  Pharma Stocks forecast share the same top performing stock pick of PTX. This stock returned investors 18.06% in 1 week. Both forecasts achieved a 90% accuracy in its stock picks. In the Stocks Under 10 Dollars forecast, BBW nearly returned investors 20% in 1 week.  PTX and STON performed well with returns of 18.06% and 13.24%, respectively.  In the Risk-Conscious-Aggressive Stocks forecast, DUST was the highest performing stock, with a ROI of 19.58%. Much like the Stocks Under 10 Dollars forecast, the forecast also gave a bullish prediction for PTX and STON. These stocks earned investors 16.49% and 12.64%, respectively.

Package Name: Stocks Under 5 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 7 Days (04/24/2017 – 05/01/2017)
I Know First Average: 7.52%

4. Investors Reach Above 66% ROI In 14 Days
As the general indexes increased, the listed forecasts' overall return more than tripled. If we reflect the Small Cap Stocks forecast, the overall portfolio average was 10.16% compared to the S&P 500 return of 1.84%. SYX was the top performing stock with a return of 31.62%. The next two high yielding stocks were PTN and KND, with returns of 20.83% and 18.44%, respectively. By Region-European Stocks forecast selected KN.PA and BNP.PA. Each stock yielded 21.81% and 16.56%, respectively. PTX was the highest performing stock among the 14 day forecasts. In the Stocks Under 10 Dollars forecast and the Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast, PTX yielded over 66%.

Package Name: Small Cap Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 14 Days (04/21/2017 – 05/05/2017)
I Know First Average: 10.16%

I Know First Review

5. 1 Month Results in Over 57% Return
In the Small Cap Stocks forecast, Plug was the highest performing stock returning investors 57.53%. SYX was the second highest performing stock with a return of 27.19%. The forecast achieved a market Premium 11.37%  PLUG was also the highest performing stock in the Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast with a return of 64.49%. VHC also achieved a return of 45.65%.  PTX returned investors 75.35% in the Medicine Stocks forecast.

Package Name: Small Cap Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Month (03/31/2017 – 05/01/2017)
I Know First Average: 12.23%

6. 3 Months Forecast achieves 100% accuracy
The self-learning algorithm achieved a 100% accuracy in stock picks for the Fundamental-High PEG Stocks forecast. GNCMA was the highest performing stock with a 86.98% return. INVE had a return of 61.39% and HPQ returned investors 24.62% in the Computer Industry Stocks forecast. Among the forecasts the second highest of all the forecasts came from IMGN with a return of 77.87% return in the Medicine Stocks forecast. BCR also had a return of 29.07%.

Package Name: Fundamental – High PEG Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Months (02/01/2017 – 05/01/2017)
I Know First Average: 18.28%

Article Highlights 

  1. On August 18, 2016, an I Know First's financial analyst wrote a bullish article about Tesla, and the company's rightful decision to merge with SolarCity. Although many viewed this an unpopular move, Telsa sees a future in diversifying itself from being just a car company. During the same time, I Know First's self-learning algorithm had forecasted a bullish prediction on TSLA shares as well. In accordance with the algorithm's predictions, TLSA shares have risen by 38.12% to date.
  2. After AMD's amazing rally during the year 2016, many predicted the trend to continue. However, I Know First analyst took notice of a matter that may have been overlooked by some.  Patent infringement along with high expectation could result in future disappointment. On March 24, 2017, I Know first issued a bearish 1 and 3 months forecast. Since the forecast was issued, the stock has decreased by 26.11%.
  3. The company BlackBerry, brings up memories of one of the most notable phone companies who changed the mobile phone industry more than a decade ago. However after the introduction of the iPhone, the phone company has seen a steady decline. Despite the setback, I Know First wrote a bullish article on April 12, 2016, signifying the company's path to profitability. By reducing the price of the phone and offering the most secure Android phone on the market, the company has seen its stock rise.  Since the forecast's release, the stock has increased by 41.85%.
Disclaimer: This and other personal blog posts are not reviewed, monitored or endorsed by TalkMarkets. The content is solely the view of the author and TalkMarkets is not responsible for the content of this post in any way. Our curated content which is handpicked by our editorial team may be viewed here.

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