Bill Conerly | TalkMarkets | Page 1
Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!
Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ...more

All Contributions

Latest Posts
1 to 16 of 429 Posts
1 2 3 ... 27 >>>
The Fed Will Ignore Election, Cut Interest Rates Second Half Of 2024
When monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve are discussed, some commentators believe that the Fed won’t cut interest rates just before an election.
AI Implementation In Business: Lessons From Diverse Industries
Artificial intelligence has been introduced to companies around the world, with some good results and some waste of resources. At this point we can see trends that will help business leaders implement worthwhile efforts.
Food Costs Are High: The Diet Of Misleading Information
News reports proclaimed that food costs had jumped. But the truth is that consumers are choosing higher-cost options. It’s as if people gave up their Hyundais for Bentleys, and then newspapers wrote that it costs more to drive to work.
Consumers Will Keep On Spending In 2024
Consumers moderated on their spending in January, but that was just a blip on a path toward continued increases in expenditures over the course of 2024.
AI Market Structure In The Future: Few Engines, Many Applications
The artificial intelligence industry will be large but with only a few corporations providing models such as ChatGPT, Claude, and Google’s Gemini family.
Ozempic Is Not Bad For Business Despite Snack Food Suppression
Ozempic may change the composition of total spending but not the total. If consumers will be eating fewer snacks, they will have money left over—but not for long.
AI And The Economy: Manufacturing’s Benefits Are Mostly Outside The Factory
Artificial intelligence will help manufacturing by better understanding of demand for products and supply of inputs, with lesser impacts on what happens inside the plant.
Strategies For Improving Labor Productivity Through Employee Training
The labor market will be tight through the end of the decade, making employee recruiting and retention difficult. Boosting the output of employees is the best strategy for coping with the difficult labor environment.
Economy Was Strong Q4 2023: Business Plans For A Rosier Future In 2024
Economic growth continued strongly in Q4'23, contradicting many forecasts of recession, including mine. We could still have a few quarters of slower growth, and the possibility of recession remains, but the most likely path is growth
The Future Of Work: AI, Remote Work And The Labor Shortage
Artificial intelligence will change the nature of work in the coming years, interacting with demographics and remote work desires.
Fed Will Be Slow To Cut Interest Rates In 2024
The Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates around mid-year 2024, but the cuts will be slow and gradual. Bond and mortgage rates will move earlier in anticipation of the Fed’s change in short-term interest rates
Economic Forecast For 2024: Recession Now Unlikely
The 2024 slowdown will probably not be recession, though that’s certainly a possibility. I had previously predicted a recession, of mild magnitude, beginning in late 2023 or early 2024. This forecast retreats from that prediction.
AI And The Economy: Business Models Will Change Rapidly
Artificial intelligence will impact most business activity in the economy. Some functions will be less impacted but even the lightly-affected companies will change.
Banks Making Fewer Business Loans Because Of Recession Fears
Commercial banks have been trimming their business loans throughout 2023.
GOAT: Tyler Cowen's Search For The Greatest Economist
Not only does Cowen pose an interesting question and attempt to solve it, but this is an attempt at a generative book, a book that evolves, a book that writes itself, a book without a status quo.
Real Estate Agents After Fixed Commissions
A court ruling on antitrust issues will bring commissions down, push low-earning agents out, and lead successful agents to do less marketing.
1 to 16 of 429 Posts
1 2 3 ... 27 >>>